MLB Game Overviews

Wednesday, June 24, 2026 · Updated 15:38 UTC · Odds 15:18 UTC

TEX @ MIA
12:10 PM · loanDepot park (Roof Closed)
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Jacob deGrom R
xERA2.52 (elite)K%27.4 (good)HH%31.2 (good)Barrel%4.2 (elite)ERA4.00IP/gs6.0 IP/gsH/gs5.0PC/gs94BB%6.9K O/U6.5 (-122 / +116)Outs O/U17.5 (-136 / +111)
MIA vs RHP
wRC+106 (avg)K%22.2 (avg)HH%39.5 (avg)
Eury Perez R
xERA4.37 (avg)K%32.8 (elite)HH%41.2 (below avg)Barrel%20.6 (poor)ERA3.52IP/gs5.1 IP/gsH/gs3.3PC/gs87BB%6.9K O/U4.5 (-120 / +110)
TEX vs RHP
wRC+116 (above avg)K%20.4 (avg)HH%41.3 (above avg)
Game Line Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalTEX-120-1.5 (+152)O7.5 (+100)MIA+102+1.5 (-171)U7.5 (-114)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalTEX-130-0.5 (+108)O3.5 (-138)MIA+112+0.5 (-140)U3.5 (+106)
Jacob deGrom · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 19vs SDPW6.010696366
Jun 13@ BOSL6.09056022
Jun 7vs CLEW6.08763200
Jun 1@ STLW5.09184100
May 27vs HOUL6.09764122
Eury Perez · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
May 27@ TORL4.07393000
May 22vs NYMW6.18652011
May 17@ TBRL5.010255455
May 12@ MINL6.08783333
May 6vs BALL5.09364555
Bullpens · Last 12
TEX
xERA 3.71 (good)ERA 5.44
MIA
xERA 3.21 (good)ERA 2.54
Weather · Roof Closed
Roof Closed
Flags · 5
  • MIA — Eury Perez: elevated Barrel% 21%
  • TEX — Jacob deGrom: high pitch count last start (106 pitches) — monitor workload today
  • TEX — Jacob deGrom: 2026-06-19: 6 ER in 6.0 IP (ERA equiv 9) is inflating 3-game xERA — other 2 starts averaged 1.50 ERA equiv
  • MIA — Eury Perez: low pitch count last start (73 pitches) — may have been managing something
  • MIA — Eury Perez: 2026-05-17: 5 ER in 5.0 IP (ERA equiv 9) is inflating 3-game xERA — other 2 starts averaged 0.74 ERA equiv
CLE @ CHW
2:10 PM · Rate FieldNeutral Conditions
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Tanner Bibee R
xERA3.92 (avg)K%24.3 (good)HH%44.0 (below avg)Barrel%8.0 (good)ERA2.21IP/gs6.8 IP/gsH/gs3.0PC/gs91BB%8.1K O/U5.5 (+115 / +138)
CHW vs RHP
wRC+82 (below avg)K%22.1 (avg)HH%38.6 (avg)
Erick Fedde R
xERA3.73 (good)K%22.2 (avg)HH%29.7 (elite)Barrel%8.1 (avg)ERA2.19IP/gs12.3 IP/gsH/gs13.0PC/gs75BB%5.6
CLE vs RHP
wRC+108 (avg)K%29.4 (poor)HH%39.0 (avg)
Game Line Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalCLE-112-1.5 (+146)O8.5 (-107)CHW-104+1.5 (-174)U8.5 (-112)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalCLE-115-0.5 (+116)O4.5 (-122)CHW-106+0.5 (-152)U4.5 (-106)
Tanner Bibee · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 19@ HOUL5.19574234
Jun 12vs DETW7.09182222
Jun 6@ TEXW8.08733200
May 31vs BOSL6.09056133
May 25vs WSNL3.06138077
Erick Fedde · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 19@ DETL4.27844122
Jun 14vs LADW2.25843200
Jun 9vs ATLW5.08846012
Jun 3@ MINW5.06122100
May 29vs DETW4.08434322
Bullpens · Last 12
CLE
xERA 4.08 (avg)ERA 4.60
CHW
xERA 4.94 (below avg)ERA 4.47
Weather · Neutral Conditions
70°F, Overcast, Wind 8 mph SW
APF 98 — Neutral
Flags · 2
  • CHW — Erick Fedde: small sample (12.1 IP over 3 starts)
  • CHW — Erick Fedde: low pitch count last start (78 pitches) — may have been managing something
BOS @ COL
3:10 PM · Coors FieldLightning
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Ranger Suarez L
xERA2.38 (elite)K%25.0 (good)HH%24.5 (elite)Barrel%4.1 (elite)ERA1.50IP/gs6.0 IP/gsH/gs4.3PC/gs94BB%6.9K O/U4.5 (-160 / +126)Outs O/U17.5 (-125 / -101)
COL vs LHP
wRC+111 (avg)K%25.7 (below avg)HH%31.5 (below avg)
Kyle Freeland L
xERA3.21 (good)K%18.7 (avg)HH%48.3 (poor)Barrel%8.3 (avg)ERA5.50IP/gs6.0 IP/gsH/gs7.0PC/gs88BB%1.3K O/U4.5 (+136 / -168)Outs O/U15.5 (-102 / -122)
BOS vs LHP
wRC+176 (elite)K%22.6 (avg)HH%33.3 (below avg)
Game Line Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalBOS-164-1.5 (-108)O11.0 (-103)COL+141+1.5 (-105)U11.0 (-115)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalBOS-172-0.5 (-128)O5.5 (-122)COL+136+0.5 (-102)U5.5 (-106)
Ranger Suarez · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 19@ SEAW6.29451300
Jun 13vs TEXW5.09776222
Jun 7@ NYYL6.19066011
May 31@ CLEW5.093108244
May 26vs ATLL5.09146355
Kyle Freeland · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 19vs PITW7.18184022
Jun 13@ ATHL5.295410066
Jun 7vs MILL5.08927133
Jun 1@ LAAW5.29147156
May 26@ LADL4.08149088
Bullpens · Last 12
BOS
xERA 2.58 (elite)ERA 3.82
COL
xERA 5.61 (poor)ERA 4.22
Weather · Lightning
87°F, Thunderstorm, Wind 6 mph NE
APF 115 — Hitter Friendly
Flags · 3
  • COL — Kyle Freeland: getting squared up (Hard-Hit% 48%)
  • COL bullpen: bullpen is a liability (xERA 5.61)
  • WEATHER: extreme hitter's park (adj factor 115) — xERAs will play higher than usual
BAL @ LAA
4:07 PM · Angel StadiumHitter Friendly
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Trey Gibson R
xERA4.81 (below avg)K%22.4 (avg)HH%41.5 (below avg)Barrel%4.9 (elite)ERA7.71IP/gs4.7 IP/gsH/gs5.0PC/gs86BB%14.9K O/U4.5 (-118 / -107)Outs O/U15.5 (+114 / -151)
LAA vs RHP
wRC+131 (elite)K%24.0 (below avg)HH%38.4 (avg)
Jose Soriano R
xERA3.96 (avg)K%18.6 (avg)HH%40.8 (below avg)Barrel%8.2 (avg)ERA4.50IP/gs5.3 IP/gsH/gs5.7PC/gs90BB%11.4K O/U6.5 (+100 / -114)Outs O/U17.5 (-126 / -102)
BAL vs RHP
wRC+118 (above avg)K%26.6 (below avg)HH%43.0 (above avg)
Game Line Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalBAL+104-1.5 (+162)O9.5 (-102)LAA-122-1.5 (+158)U9.0 (-101)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalBAL+108+0.5 (-130)O4.5 (-140)LAA-130-0.5 (+100)U4.5 (+108)
Trey Gibson · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 19@ LADL5.09787433
Jun 13vs SDPL4.19373566
Jun 8vs SEAL4.26805133
May 27vs TBRW5.210016411
May 8vs ATHL2.03023111
Jose Soriano · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 19@ ATHL5.010566444
Jun 13vs TBRW5.07653200
Jun 7@ LADW6.08828245
Jun 1vs COLL4.210873723
May 27@ DETL5.010547433
Bullpens · Last 12
BAL
xERA 4.15 (avg)ERA 2.86
LAA
xERA 3.32 (good)ERA 3.86
Weather · Hitter Friendly
79°F, Clear, Wind 9 mph SW
APF 103 — Hitter Friendly
Flags · 3
  • BAL — Trey Gibson: ERA 7.71 >> xERA 4.81 — likely unlucky; may be better than ERA shows (check LOB%/BABIP)
  • BAL — Trey Gibson: missed a turn (19-day gap between starts)
  • LAA — Jose Soriano: high pitch count last start (105 pitches) — monitor workload today
NYY @ DET
6:40 PM · Comerica ParkNeutral Conditions
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Ryan Weathers L
xERA4.19 (avg)K%20.6 (avg)HH%42.0 (below avg)Barrel%14.0 (below avg)ERA6.48IP/gs5.6 IP/gsH/gs5.0PC/gs88BB%4.4K O/U5.5 (-118 / -107)Outs O/U17.5 (-130 / -102)
DET vs LHP
wRC+91 (below avg)K%25.2 (below avg)HH%39.4 (avg)
Tarik Skubal L
xERA4.35 (avg)K%27.1 (good)HH%45.8 (poor)Barrel%8.3 (avg)ERA3.63IP/gs5.8 IP/gsH/gs5.7PC/gs88BB%2.9K O/U6.5 (-120 / +111)Outs O/U18.5 (+125 / -167)
NYY vs LHP
wRC+113 (avg)K%21.3 (avg)HH%33.1 (below avg)
Game Line Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalNYY+116+1.5 (-188)O7.5 (+102)DET-134-1.5 (+164)U7.5 (-122)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalNYY+130+0.5 (-132)O3.5 (-125)DET-150-0.5 (+102)U3.5 (-104)
Ryan Weathers · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 18vs CHWL6.18883111
Jun 12@ TORL4.18225166
Jun 5vs BOSL6.09347155
May 30@ ATHL6.2107106355
May 24vs TBRW7.09544300
Tarik Skubal · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 19vs CHWW5.29487133
Jun 13@ CLEL4.28045123
Apr 29@ ATLL7.09175022
Apr 23vs MILW6.09457044
Apr 18@ BOSW6.089104211
Bullpens · Last 12
NYY
xERA 3.81 (avg)ERA 3.21
DET
xERA 2.99 (elite)ERA 1.91
Weather · Neutral Conditions
78°F, Overcast, Wind 7 mph SSW
APF 102 — Neutral
Flags · 2
  • DET — Tarik Skubal: getting squared up (Hard-Hit% 46%)
  • DET — Tarik Skubal: missed a turn (45-day gap between starts)
KCR @ TBR
6:40 PM · Tropicana Field (Dome)
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Noah Cameron L
xERA3.78 (avg)K%20.0 (avg)HH%30.2 (good)Barrel%5.7 (good)ERA4.11IP/gs5.1 IP/gsH/gs6.0PC/gs99BB%2.9K O/U4.5 (+114 / -138)Outs O/U17.5 (-145 / +124)
TBR vs LHP
wRC+80 (below avg)K%18.8 (above avg)HH%30.2 (below avg)
Griffin Jax R
xERA5.17 (below avg)K%25.4 (good)HH%43.6 (below avg)Barrel%12.8 (below avg)ERA1.20IP/gs5.0 IP/gsH/gs4.0PC/gs65BB%3.6K O/U4.5 (-124 / +120)Outs O/U15.5 (+124 / -164)
KCR vs RHP
wRC+141 (elite)K%17.1 (above avg)HH%43.7 (above avg)
Game Line Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalKCR+128+1.5 (-171)O7.5 (-110)TBR-146-1.5 (+146)U7.5 (-105)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalKCR+120+0.5 (-132)O4.5 (+116)TBR-142-0.5 (+102)U4.5 (-152)
Noah Cameron · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 18vs STLW5.010868234
Jun 13vs HOUL4.18617044
Jun 7@ MINW6.010473001
Jun 2@ CINL7.08781011
May 27vs NYYL5.09444122
Griffin Jax · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 19vs WSNW5.06954022
Jun 13@ LAAL5.06355001
Jun 7@ MIAL5.06243200
Jun 1vs DETL4.07257166
May 26@ BALL2.03834013
Bullpens · Last 12
KCR
xERA 4.14 (avg)ERA 4.50
TBR
xERA 4.19 (avg)ERA 5.44
Weather · Dome
Dome
Flags · 4
  • TBR — Griffin Jax: ERA 1.20 << xERA 5.17 — overperforming; regression risk
  • TBR — Griffin Jax: high LOB% 98% — ERA flattered by strand luck
  • KCR — Noah Cameron: high pitch count last start (108 pitches) — monitor workload today
  • TBR — Griffin Jax: low pitch count last start (69 pitches) — may have been managing something
SEA @ PIT
6:40 PM · PNC ParkNeutral Conditions
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Bryan Woo R
xERA4.09 (avg)K%26.7 (good)HH%48.1 (poor)Barrel%9.6 (avg)ERA5.89IP/gs6.1 IP/gsH/gs6.3PC/gs87BB%2.7K O/U5.5 (+102 / -130)Outs O/U17.5 (-166 / +131)
PIT vs RHP
wRC+134 (elite)K%23.8 (avg)HH%42.1 (above avg)
Braxton Ashcraft R
xERA3.44 (good)K%22.2 (avg)HH%40.0 (avg)Barrel%4.0 (elite)ERA5.06IP/gs5.3 IP/gsH/gs6.0PC/gs90BB%6.9K O/U6.5 (+122 / +112)Outs O/U17.5 (-130 / +108)
SEA vs RHP
wRC+69 (poor)K%23.8 (avg)HH%38.4 (avg)
Game Line Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalSEA-102-1.5 (+165)O8.0 (-106)PIT-116+1.5 (-200)U7.5 (+102)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalSEA+100+0.5 (-154)O3.5 (-144)PIT-120-0.5 (+118)U3.5 (+110)
Bryan Woo · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 18vs BALW7.08993100
Jun 11@ BALL5.08247177
Jun 5@ DETL6.19079055
May 30vs ARIW7.08692000
May 24@ KCRL4.29146244
Braxton Ashcraft · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 17@ ATHW6.09374312
Jun 12vs MIAL5.09045222
Jun 6@ ATLL5.08659066
May 31vs MINW6.080115022
May 26vs CHCW6.19557111
Bullpens · Last 12
SEA
xERA 2.53 (elite)ERA 4.68
PIT
xERA 3.86 (avg)ERA 5.11
Weather · Neutral Conditions
80°F, Clear, Wind 6 mph WSW
APF 100 — Neutral
Flags · 4
  • SEA — Bryan Woo: getting squared up (Hard-Hit% 48%)
  • SEA bullpen: bullpen ERA 4.68 >> xERA 2.53 — may be getting unlucky
  • SEA — Bryan Woo: 2026-06-11: 7 ER in 5.0 IP (ERA equiv 13) is inflating 3-game xERA — other 2 starts averaged 3.69 ERA equiv
  • PIT — Braxton Ashcraft: 2026-06-06: 6 ER in 5.0 IP (ERA equiv 11) is inflating 3-game xERA — other 2 starts averaged 2.55 ERA equiv
PHI @ WSN
6:45 PM · Nationals ParkHitter Friendly
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Aaron Nola R
xERA3.43 (good)K%18.8 (avg)HH%34.7 (good)Barrel%8.2 (avg)ERA6.43IP/gs4.7 IP/gsH/gs6.3PC/gs93BB%10.1K O/U4.5 (-122 / +101)Outs O/U16.5 (-131 / +102)
WSN vs RHP
wRC+102 (avg)K%20.4 (avg)HH%36.3 (avg)
Miles Mikolas R
xERA2.65 (elite)K%10.6 (poor)HH%37.9 (avg)Barrel%3.5 (elite)ERA2.55IP/gs17.2 IP (3gs)PC/gs74BB%1.5K O/U3.5 (+126 / -152)
PHI vs RHP
wRC+121 (above avg)K%26.4 (below avg)HH%38.9 (avg)
Game Line Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalPHI-132-1.5 (+119)O9.5 (-112)WSN+114+1.5 (-140)U9.5 (-105)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalPHI-125-0.5 (+106)O5.5 (+100)WSN+102+0.5 (-138)U5.5 (-130)
Aaron Nola · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 18vs NYML5.09767123
Jun 13@ MILW4.28536233
Jun 7vs CHWW4.19846455
Jun 2vs SDPW5.09584022
May 26@ SDPW6.08053022
Miles Mikolas · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 19@ TBRL6.08529155
Jun 14vs SEAW7.08333000
Jun 8@ SFGW4.25423000
Jun 2vs MIAL6.09246266
May 27@ CLEL3.26016022
Bullpens · Last 12
PHI
xERA 4.17 (avg)ERA 5.18
WSN
xERA 4.56 (below avg)ERA 6.83
Weather · Hitter Friendly
83°F, Clear, Wind 4 mph WNW
APF 103 — Hitter Friendly
Flags · 2
  • PHI — Aaron Nola: ERA 6.43 >> xERA 3.43 — likely unlucky; may be better than ERA shows (check LOB%/BABIP)
  • WSN bullpen: bullpen ERA 6.83 >> xERA 4.56 — may be getting unlucky
HOU @ TOR
7:07 PM · Rogers Centre (Roof Closed)
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Mike Burrows R
xERA4.41 (avg)K%16.7 (below avg)HH%36.6 (avg)Barrel%7.3 (good)ERA6.55IP/gs5.5 IP/gsH/gs8.0PC/gs65BB%7.4K O/U3.5 (-138 / +121)Outs O/U15.5 (+102 / -129)
TOR vs RHP
wRC+122 (above avg)K%19.3 (above avg)HH%36.1 (avg)
Trey Yesavage R
xERA3.57 (good)K%18.7 (avg)HH%47.2 (poor)Barrel%7.5 (good)ERA7.00IP/gs6.0 IP/gsH/gs4.3PC/gs89BB%10.7K O/U5.5 (-105 / -103)Outs O/U16.5 (-118 / -109)
HOU vs RHP
wRC+119 (above avg)K%21.1 (avg)HH%41.6 (above avg)
Game Line Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalHOU+134+1.5 (-162)O8.5 (-105)TOR-154-1.5 (+138)U8.5 (-110)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalHOU+124+0.5 (-115)O4.5 (-122)TOR-156-0.5 (-113)U4.5 (-106)
Mike Burrows · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 19vs CLEW1.0711000
Jun 13@ KCRW5.09257245
Jun 7vs ATHL5.09738245
Jun 2vs PITL5.09038556
May 27@ TEXW7.09165122
Trey Yesavage · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 18@ BOSW7.19564033
Jun 12vs NYYW5.08134655
Jun 5vs BALL5.29155266
May 30@ BALL5.09242711
May 25vs MIAL6.29865255
Bullpens · Last 12
HOU
xERA 3.42 (good)ERA 3.33
TOR
xERA 3.69 (good)ERA 3.58
Weather · Roof Closed
Roof Closed
Flags · 4
  • HOU — Mike Burrows: small sample (11.0 IP over 3 starts)
  • TOR — Trey Yesavage: ERA 7.00 >> xERA 3.57 — likely unlucky; may be better than ERA shows (check LOB%/BABIP)
  • TOR — Trey Yesavage: getting squared up (Hard-Hit% 47%)
  • HOU — Mike Burrows: low pitch count last start (7 pitches) — may have been managing something
CHC @ NYM
7:10 PM · Citi FieldNeutral Conditions
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Javier Assad R
xERA2.29 (elite)K%17.2 (avg)HH%34.0 (good)Barrel%6.0 (good)ERA1.00IP/gs9.0 IP/gsH/gs4.5PC/gs83BB%3.1
NYM vs RHP
wRC+95 (avg)K%25.6 (below avg)HH%38.5 (avg)
Sean Manaea L
xERA3.46 (good)K%22.9 (avg)HH%47.7 (poor)Barrel%6.8 (good)ERA3.52IP/gs7.7 IP/gsH/gs7.0PC/gs82BB%3.3
CHC vs LHP
wRC+212 (elite)K%16.3 (above avg)HH%42.4 (above avg)
Game Line Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalCHC+100-1.5 (+156)O8.5 (-106)NYM-108+1.5 (-182)U8.5 (-105)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalCHC-116-0.5 (+122)O3.5 (-152)NYM-106+0.5 (-160)U3.5 (+116)
Javier Assad · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 17vs COLW5.29215022
Jun 12@ SFGW6.08553100
Jun 7vs SFGL6.17251100
May 15@ CHWW2.03913011
May 8@ TEXW3.24111100
Sean Manaea · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 18@ PHIW5.19556123
Jun 13vs ATLL6.08464022
Jun 7@ SDPW4.06634122
Jun 1@ SEAL5.06341111
May 26vs CINL3.06863211
Bullpens · Last 12
CHC
xERA 4.89 (below avg)ERA 5.72
NYM
xERA 3.73 (good)ERA 4.23
Weather · Neutral Conditions
82°F, Clear, Wind 8 mph WNW
APF 101 — Neutral
Flags · 3
  • CHC — Javier Assad: high LOB% 100% — ERA flattered by strand luck
  • NYM — Sean Manaea: getting squared up (Hard-Hit% 48%)
  • CHC — Javier Assad: missed a turn (23-day gap between starts)
MIL @ CIN
7:10 PM · Great American Ball ParkHitter Friendly
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Shane Drohan L
xERA3.10 (good)K%20.6 (avg)HH%30.6 (good)Barrel%10.2 (avg)ERA4.41IP/gs5.4 IP/gsH/gs5.3PC/gs84BB%5.9K O/U5.5 (+113 / +140)Outs O/U15.5 (+118 / +122)
CIN vs LHP
wRC+127 (above avg)K%18.9 (above avg)HH%41.2 (above avg)
Rhett Lowder R
xERA4.80 (below avg)K%22.7 (avg)HH%35.9 (avg)Barrel%10.3 (avg)ERA3.21IP/gs4.7 IP/gsH/gs4.0PC/gs87BB%15.2K O/U4.5 (+132 / -150)Outs O/U15.5 (+116 / +110)
MIL vs RHP
wRC+104 (avg)K%22.6 (avg)HH%36.8 (avg)
Game Line Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalMIL-138-1.5 (+115)O9.5 (-105)CIN+122+1.5 (-128)U9.5 (-111)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalMIL-130-0.5 (-113)O4.5 (-144)CIN+124+0.5 (-115)U4.5 (+110)
Shane Drohan · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 18vs CLEL5.09133311
Jun 13vs PHIL5.07878044
Jun 7@ COLW6.18345133
Jun 1vs SFGW4.06854222
May 27vs STLW2.02711000
Rhett Lowder · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 19@ NYYL5.19556344
Jun 13vs ARIW5.29665211
Jun 7@ STLL3.07041500
May 7@ CHCL3.05911433
May 2@ PITL1.15215488
Bullpens · Last 12
MIL
xERA 2.74 (elite)ERA 4.29
CIN
xERA 2.88 (elite)ERA 3.02
Weather · Hitter Friendly
82°F, Overcast, Wind 6 mph WNW
APF 104 — Hitter Friendly
Flags · 2
  • CIN — Rhett Lowder: high LOB% 96% — ERA flattered by strand luck
  • CIN — Rhett Lowder: missed a turn (31-day gap between starts)
LAD @ MIN
7:40 PM · Target FieldHitter Friendly
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Shohei Ohtani R
xERA3.28 (good)K%22.4 (avg)HH%28.8 (elite)Barrel%5.8 (good)ERA3.38IP/gs6.2 IP/gsH/gs5.0PC/gs94BB%6.6K O/U6.5 (+106 / -135)Outs O/U17.5 (-148 / +112)
MIN vs RHP
wRC+163 (elite)K%14.5 (elite)HH%43.5 (above avg)
Joe Ryan R
xERA2.79 (elite)K%28.6 (elite)HH%45.6 (poor)Barrel%8.7 (avg)ERA2.12IP/gs5.7 IP/gsH/gs5.0PC/gs100BB%5.7K O/U5.5 (-132 / +112)Outs O/U17.5 (-138 / +112)
LAD vs RHP
wRC+132 (elite)K%23.1 (avg)HH%42.0 (above avg)
Game Line Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalLAD-176-1.5 (-102)O8.0 (-114)MIN+149+1.5 (-117)U8.0 (-105)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalLAD-160-0.5 (-110)O3.5 (-148)MIN+132+0.5 (-118)U3.5 (+114)
Shohei Ohtani · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 17vs TBRW6.09157144
Jun 10@ PITL6.210266334
Jun 3@ ARIW6.08962100
May 27vs COLW6.09970411
May 20@ SDPW5.08843200
Joe Ryan · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 18@ TEXW5.09773200
Jun 12vs STLW6.010286033
Jun 6vs KCRL6.010256211
Jun 1vs CHWW6.09898044
May 26@ CHWW7.29895022
Bullpens · Last 12
LAD
xERA 2.39 (elite)ERA 3.16
MIN
xERA 4.19 (avg)ERA 7.97
Weather · Hitter Friendly
74°F, Mainly Clear, Wind 13 mph WNW
APF 105 — Hitter Friendly
Flags · 3
  • MIN — Joe Ryan: getting squared up (Hard-Hit% 46%)
  • MIN — Joe Ryan: high LOB% 93% — ERA flattered by strand luck
  • MIN bullpen: bullpen ERA 7.97 >> xERA 4.19 — may be getting unlucky
ARI @ STL
7:45 PM · Busch StadiumRainy
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Mitch Bratt L
xERA?K%?HH%?IP/gs—
STL vs LHP
wRC+113 (avg)K%14.0 (elite)HH%43.1 (above avg)
M. Liberatore L
xERA7.51 (poor)K%19.2 (avg)HH%47.4 (poor)Barrel%18.4 (poor)ERA10.45IP/gs3.4 IP/gsH/gs5.3PC/gs67BB%7.7K O/U3.5 (+126 / -152)Outs O/U15.5 (+113 / -151)
ARI vs LHP
wRC+97 (avg)K%14.2 (elite)HH%34.5 (below avg)
Game Line Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalARI-102-1.5 (+159)O9.0 (-110)STL-116+1.5 (-192)U9.0 (-110)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalARI+100+0.5 (-140)O4.5 (-138)STL-115-0.5 (+108)U4.5 (+106)
M. Liberatore · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 18@ KCRL1.24827057
Jun 13@ MINW4.17045144
Jun 6vs CINW4.18444335
May 31vs CHCW5.18543100
May 25@ MILL5.0101107233
Bullpens · Last 12
ARI
xERA 4.73 (below avg)ERA 4.35
STL
xERA 5.39 (poor)ERA 6.69
Weather · Rainy
76°F, Light Drizzle, Wind 13 mph WNW
APF 100 — Neutral
Flags · 9
  • ARI — Mitch Bratt: no stats — likely TBD or skipping this start
  • STL — M. Liberatore: small sample (10.1 IP over 3 starts)
  • STL — M. Liberatore: ERA 10.45 >> xERA 7.51 — likely unlucky; may be better than ERA shows (check LOB%/BABIP)
  • STL — M. Liberatore: getting squared up (Hard-Hit% 47%)
  • STL — M. Liberatore: elevated Barrel% 18%
  • STL — M. Liberatore: low LOB% 31% — ERA penalized by bad sequencing
  • STL — M. Liberatore: averaging only 3.4 IP/start — heavy bullpen usage
  • STL bullpen: bullpen is a liability (xERA 5.39)
  • STL — M. Liberatore: low pitch count last start (48 pitches) — may have been managing something
ATL @ SDP
8:40 PM · Petco ParkNeutral Conditions
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Martin Perez L
xERA2.47 (elite)K%21.5 (avg)HH%23.9 (elite)Barrel%2.2 (elite)ERA2.76IP/gs5.4 IP/gsH/gs4.3PC/gs79BB%7.7K O/U4.5 (+110 / -132)Outs O/U15.5 (-103 / -114)
SDP vs LHP
wRC+104 (avg)K%18.5 (above avg)HH%44.6 (above avg)
JP Sears L
xERA?K%?HH%?IP/gs—K O/U3.5 (-162 / +134)Outs O/U15.5 (+113 / -150)
ATL vs LHP
wRC+104 (avg)K%21.7 (avg)HH%38.4 (avg)
Game Line Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalATL-120-1.5 (+137)O8.5 (+100)SDP+106+1.5 (-156)U8.5 (-120)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalATL-125-0.5 (+104)O4.5 (-125)SDP+106+0.5 (-135)U4.5 (-104)
Martin Perez · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 19vs MILW6.08256211
Jun 13@ NYMW5.17144111
Jun 5vs PITW5.08553233
May 30@ CINW5.08124322
May 24vs WSNL5.28625211
Bullpens · Last 12
ATL
xERA 3.78 (avg)ERA 1.61
SDP
xERA 3.85 (avg)ERA 3.19
Weather · Neutral Conditions
70°F, Overcast, Wind 7 mph WNW
APF 98 — Neutral
Flags · 3
  • SDP — JP Sears: no stats — likely TBD or skipping this start
  • ATL bullpen: bullpen ERA 1.61 << xERA 3.78 — ERA flatters the pen
  • WEATHER: hitter-friendly conditions (adj factor 98) — adjust pitcher xERA expectations up
ATH @ SFG
9:45 PM · Oracle ParkNeutral Conditions
Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Gage Jump L
xERA2.91 (elite)K%23.2 (good)HH%30.4 (good)Barrel%4.3 (elite)ERA1.47IP/gs6.1 IP/gsH/gs3.0PC/gs93BB%10.1K O/U4.5 (-137 / +107)
SFG vs LHP
wRC+118 (above avg)K%19.6 (above avg)HH%42.1 (above avg)
Tyler Mahle R
xERA2.86 (elite)K%22.4 (avg)HH%31.2 (good)Barrel%4.2 (elite)ERA8.40IP/gs5.0 IP/gsH/gs7.0PC/gs83BB%6.0K O/U4.5 (+102 / -124)
ATH vs RHP
wRC+150 (elite)K%20.0 (avg)HH%36.9 (avg)
Game Line Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalATH-115-1.5 (+146)O8.5 (-102)SFG-102+1.5 (-173)U8.0 (-105)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalATH-120-0.5 (+110)O4.5 (-102)SFG+102+0.5 (-144)U4.5 (-128)
Gage Jump · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 18vs LAAW7.010771300
Jun 12vs COLW5.07565133
Jun 7@ HOUW6.19633300
Jun 2@ CHCW7.08553111
May 26vs SEAL5.08859144
Tyler Mahle · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
May 26vs ARIL5.08133333
May 20@ ARIL5.07968066
May 15@ ATHL5.090610155
May 10vs PITW5.29785244
May 3@ TBRL5.19254100
Bullpens · Last 12
ATH
xERA 3.45 (good)ERA 7.14
SFG
xERA 4.78 (below avg)ERA 4.66
Weather · Neutral Conditions
60°F, Overcast, Wind 12 mph W
APF 97 — Neutral
Flags · 4
  • SFG — Tyler Mahle: ERA 8.40 >> xERA 2.86 — likely unlucky; may be better than ERA shows (check LOB%/BABIP)
  • ATH bullpen: bullpen ERA 7.14 >> xERA 3.45 — may be getting unlucky
  • ATH — Gage Jump: high pitch count last start (107 pitches) — monitor workload today
  • WEATHER: hitter-friendly conditions (adj factor 97) — adjust pitcher xERA expectations up