NYY @ 
BOS1:10 PM · Fenway ParkHitter Friendly
NYY @ BOSMatchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Gerrit Cole R
xERA3.57 (good)K%22.1 (avg)HH%37.8 (avg)Barrel%8.9 (avg)ERA5.65IP/gs4.8 IP/gsH/gs5.7PC/gs87BB%7.3
BOS vs RHP
wRC+81 (below avg)K%24.4 (below avg)HH%31.4 (below avg)
Jake Bennett L
xERA1.33 (elite)K%28.1 (elite)HH%25.0 (elite)Barrel%6.8 (good)ERA3.31IP/gs5.4 IP/gsH/gs4.7PC/gs75BB%1.6
NYY vs LHP
wRC+112 (avg)K%25.7 (below avg)HH%35.2 (avg)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalNYY-120-1.5 (+132)O8.5 (-110)BOS+108+1.5 (-155)U8.5 (+100)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalNYY-135-0.5 (+102)O4.5 (-125)BOS+108+0.5 (-132)U4.5 (-104)
Team Totals
OverUnderNYYO4.5 (-106)U4.5 (-120)BOSO3.5 (-135)U3.5 (+112)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UGerrit Cole5.5 (+104 / +124)17.5 (-136 / +115)Jake Bennett4.5 (+130 / -159)15.5 (+119 / -159)
Gerrit Cole · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 22@ 
L4.18959155
L4.18959155Jun 16vs 
W6.09063222
W6.09063222Jun 9@ 
W4.08345222
W4.08345222Jun 3vs L5.18326144
L5.18326144May 27@ 
W6.279104000
W6.279104000Jake Bennett · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 22@ 
L6.07294000
L6.07294000Jun 17vs 
L5.17953022
L5.17953022Jun 10@ 
L5.07347144
L5.07347144May 7vs L5.18616244
L5.18616244May 1vs 
W5.08535211
W5.08535211SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Jake Bennett
IPERAKHBB
vs NYY—
home starts5.14.143.04.71.3(3)
Trends · NYY
- NYY are 4-4 vs BOS this season (8 games).
- NYY are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
- NYY are 6-4 in their last 10 away games.
- NYY are 3-2 in Gerrit Cole's last 5 starts.
- NYY are 2-1 in Gerrit Cole's last 3 away starts.
- NYY average 5.8 runs/game in Gerrit Cole's last 5 starts.
- NYY average 4.3 runs/game in Gerrit Cole's last 3 away starts.
Trends · BOS
- BOS are 4-4 vs NYY this season (8 games).
- BOS are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
- BOS are 5-5 in their last 10 home games.
- BOS are 1-4 in Jake Bennett's last 5 starts.
- BOS are 1-2 in Jake Bennett's last 3 home starts.
- BOS average 2.8 runs/game in Jake Bennett's last 5 starts.
- BOS average 2.3 runs/game in Jake Bennett's last 3 home starts.
Bullpens · Last 12
NYY
xERA 3.37 (good)ERA 2.612d stress Normal (5.3 IP/2g)
BOS
xERA 2.66 (elite)ERA 3.932d stress Normal (5.0 IP/2g)
Weather · Hitter Friendly
73°F, Clear, Wind 9 mph ENE
APF 103 — Hitter Friendly
Flags · 4
- NYY — Gerrit Cole: 2026-06-22: 5 ER in 4.1 IP (ERA equiv 11) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
- NYY — Gerrit Cole: recent opponents high-K: CLE 28%, DET 28% — K stats may be inflated vs strikeout-prone lineups
- BOS — Jake Bennett: last start: 72 pitches — short outing, possible injury concern or early hook
- BOS — Jake Bennett: 2026-06-10: 4 ER in 5.0 IP (ERA equiv 7) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
AI Analysis
Both starters (Gerrit Cole, Jake Bennett) are flagged NO STATS — first starts of the season; both bullpens are strong, but without starter data no edge exists in totals or sides.
HOU @ DET1:10 PM · Comerica ParkNeutral Conditions
HOU @ DETMatchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Kai-Wei Teng R
xERA4.88 (below avg)K%26.5 (good)HH%50.0 (poor)Barrel%15.0 (below avg)ERA7.43IP/gs4.4 IP/gsH/gs5.7PC/gs86BB%8.8
DET vs RHP
wRC+89 (below avg)K%28.1 (poor)HH%38.2 (avg)
Framber Valdez L
xERA3.55 (good)K%21.6 (avg)HH%42.9 (below avg)Barrel%10.2 (avg)ERA2.65IP/gs5.7 IP/gsH/gs5.3PC/gs87BB%9.5
HOU vs LHP
wRC+73 (poor)K%19.1 (above avg)HH%32.9 (below avg)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalHOU+114+1.5 (-184)O8.5 (-105)DET-130-1.5 (+155)U8.5 (-112)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalHOU+112+0.5 (-130)O4.5 (-115)DET-140-0.5 (+100)U4.5 (-113)
Team Totals
OverUnderHOUO3.5 (-132)U3.5 (+105)DETO4.5 (+108)U4.5 (-135)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UKai-Wei Teng5.5 (+126 / -151)15.5 (+124 / -166)Framber Valdez4.5 (-149 / +124)17.5 (-162 / +123)
Kai-Wei Teng · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 21vs W6.08344111
W6.08344111Jun 15vs L3.18196255
L3.18196255Jun 9@ 
L4.09357357
L4.09357357Jun 4vs 
L5.08717245
L5.08717245May 29vs 
L5.09173433
L5.09173433Framber Valdez · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 22vs W6.09484211
W6.09484211Jun 16@ L6.09266301
L6.09266301Jun 10vs 
L5.07526244
L5.07526244Jun 5vs 
W5.010255211
W5.010255211May 30@ L6.28946244
L6.28946244SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Kai-Wei Teng
IPERAKHBB
vs DET3.114.529.06.02.0(1)
at DET—
Framber Valdez
IPERAKHBB
vs HOU6.00.006.06.03.0(1)
home starts5.33.385.05.02.0(3)
Trends · HOU
- HOU are 3-2 vs DET this season (5 games).
- HOU are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
- HOU are 5-5 in their last 10 away games.
- HOU are 1-4 in Kai-Wei Teng's last 5 starts.
- HOU are 1-3 in Kai-Wei Teng's last 4 away starts.
- HOU average 2.2 runs/game in Kai-Wei Teng's last 5 starts.
- HOU average 1.8 runs/game in Kai-Wei Teng's last 4 away starts.
Trends · DET
- DET are 2-3 vs HOU this season (5 games).
- DET are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
- DET are 6-4 in their last 10 home games.
- DET are 2-3 in Framber Valdez's last 5 starts.
- DET are 2-3 in Framber Valdez's last 5 home starts.
- DET average 3.8 runs/game in Framber Valdez's last 5 starts.
- DET average 4.2 runs/game in Framber Valdez's last 5 home starts.
Bullpens · Last 12
HOU
xERA 3.19 (good)ERA 3.122d stress Elevated (8.0 IP/2g)
DET
xERA 2.41 (elite)ERA 1.732d stress Normal (5.0 IP/2g)
Weather · Neutral Conditions
76°F, Clear, Wind 7 mph ENE
APF 102 — Neutral
Flags · 6
- HOU — Kai-Wei Teng: HH% 50% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
- HOU — Kai-Wei Teng: Barrel% 15% — high hard contact rate, elevated home run risk
- HOU bullpen elevated (8.0 IP over 2g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
- HOU — Kai-Wei Teng: recent opponents high-K: LAA 26%, DET 28%, CLE 28% — K stats may be inflated vs strikeout-prone lineups
- DET — Framber Valdez: 2026-06-10: 4 ER in 5.0 IP (ERA equiv 7) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
- DET — Framber Valdez: low-K outing 2026-06-10 (2 Ks vs avg 5.3) — stuff was flat that day
AI Analysis
Both starters (Kai-Wei Teng, Framber Valdez) are flagged NO STATS; DET bullpen xERA 2.41 is elite and would support an under, but no pitcher data means we cannot confirm the total angle.
TEX @ TOR3:07 PM · Rogers CentreHitter Friendly
TEX @ TORMatchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Cal Quantrill
xERA?K%?HH%?Barrel%?ERA?IP/gs—H/gs?PC/gs?BB%?
TOR
No data
Dylan Cease R
xERA2.21 (elite)K%38.2 (elite)HH%24.2 (elite)Barrel%0.0 (elite)ERA1.62IP/gs5.6 IP/gsH/gs3.3PC/gs104BB%13.2
TEX vs RHP
wRC+127 (above avg)K%19.4 (above avg)HH%42.6 (above avg)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalTEX+159+1.5 (-137)O8.0 (-105)TOR-188-1.5 (+116)U7.5 (-105)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalTEX+168+0.5 (+106)O4.5 (+110)TOR-215-0.5 (-138)U4.5 (-144)
Team Totals
OverUnderTEXO3.5 (+105)U3.5 (-132)TORO4.5 (+100)U4.5 (-128)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UCal Quantrill——Dylan Cease7.5 (-108 / +113)18.5 (+125 / +106)
Dylan Cease · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 22vs W5.211083422
W5.211083422Jun 16@ W5.010874400
W5.010874400Jun 9vs 
W6.093113111
W6.093113111May 24vs L4.27684122
L4.27684122May 19@ L5.010094455
L5.010094455SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Dylan Cease
IPERAKHBB
vs TEX—
home starts5.12.929.03.32.0(3)
Trends · TEX
- TEX are 2-0 vs TOR this season (2 games).
- TEX are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
- TEX are 6-4 in their last 10 away games.
Trends · TOR
- TOR are 0-2 vs TEX this season (2 games).
- TOR are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
- TOR are 3-7 in their last 10 home games.
- TOR have lost 4 straight.
- TOR are 3-2 in Dylan Cease's last 5 starts.
- TOR are 4-1 in Dylan Cease's last 5 home starts.
- TOR average 3.6 runs/game in Dylan Cease's last 5 starts.
- TOR average 3.0 runs/game in Dylan Cease's last 5 home starts.
Bullpens · Last 12
TEX
xERA 3.72 (good)ERA 5.842d stress Fresh (4.0 IP/2g)
TOR
xERA 3.90 (avg)ERA 3.402d stress Normal (7.7 IP/2g)
Weather · Hitter Friendly
75°F, Clear, Wind 7 mph ESE
APF 103 — Hitter Friendly
Flags · 4
- TEX — Cal Quantrill: first start of the season — no stats available yet
- TOR — Dylan Cease: BB% 13% — command concerns, elevated walk rate
- TEX bullpen fresh (4.0 IP over 2g) — manager may hook starter early; lean SP K/outs UNDER
- TOR — Dylan Cease: last start: 110 pitches — high pitch count, may be on shorter leash today
AI Analysis
Both starters (Cal Quantrill, Dylan Cease) are flagged NO STATS; TOR ML is -188 (well beyond -150 pricing limit), and without any pitcher stats no angle on the total or side is supportable.
CIN @ PIT4:05 PM · PNC ParkNeutral Conditions
CIN @ PITMatchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Chase Burns R
xERA2.66 (elite)K%31.3 (elite)HH%23.7 (elite)Barrel%5.3 (good)ERA1.76IP/gs5.1 IP/gsH/gs5.0PC/gs100BB%11.9
PIT vs RHP
wRC+127 (above avg)K%24.4 (below avg)HH%43.2 (above avg)
Jared Jones R
xERA3.73 (good)K%22.9 (avg)HH%33.3 (good)Barrel%6.1 (good)ERA6.55IP/gs3.7 IP/gsH/gs4.0PC/gs65BB%8.3
CIN vs RHP
wRC+69 (poor)K%29.1 (poor)HH%32.5 (below avg)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalCIN-118-1.5 (+146)O8.0 (-105)PIT+100+1.5 (-168)U8.0 (-114)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalCIN-140-0.5 (+104)O4.5 (+116)PIT+112+0.5 (-135)U4.5 (-152)
Team Totals
OverUnderCINO4.5 (+114)U3.5 (+116)PITO3.5 (-115)U3.5 (-110)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UChase Burns6.5 (-156 / +124)17.5 (-125 / -101)Jared Jones5.5 (+101 / -110)15.5 (+130 / -173)
Chase Burns · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 21@ W5.09675311
W5.09675311Jun 15vs 
W5.010074300
W5.010074300Jun 9@ 
W5.110576222
W5.110576222Jun 3vs L6.09894122
L6.09894122May 26@ W5.19084222
W5.19084222Jared Jones · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 21@ W3.04531211
W3.04531211Jun 15@ 
L4.07548155
L4.07548155Jun 10vs 
W4.07543122
W4.07543122Jun 4@ W5.07444200
W5.07444200May 29vs W4.17767255
W4.17767255SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Chase Burns
IPERAKHBB
vs PIT6.00.007.02.02.0(2)
at PIT6.50.698.53.01.0(2)
Jared Jones
IPERAKHBB
vs CIN—
home starts4.07.785.05.01.5(2)
Trends · CIN
- CIN are 2-5 vs PIT this season (7 games).
- CIN are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
- CIN are 4-6 in their last 10 away games.
- CIN are 4-1 in Chase Burns's last 5 starts.
- CIN are 4-1 in Chase Burns's last 5 away starts.
- CIN average 6.0 runs/game in Chase Burns's last 5 starts.
- CIN average 4.0 runs/game in Chase Burns's last 5 away starts.
Trends · PIT
- PIT are 5-2 vs CIN this season (7 games).
- PIT are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
- PIT are 4-6 in their last 10 home games.
- PIT are 4-1 in Jared Jones's last 5 starts.
- PIT are 2-0 in Jared Jones's last 2 home starts.
- PIT average 6.0 runs/game in Jared Jones's last 5 starts.
- PIT average 7.5 runs/game in Jared Jones's last 2 home starts.
Bullpens · Last 12
CIN
xERA 2.67 (elite)ERA 2.982d stress Normal (3.7 IP/1g)
PIT
xERA 3.56 (good)ERA 3.762d stress Normal (7.7 IP/2g)
Weather · Neutral Conditions
77°F, Overcast, Wind 5 mph S
APF 101 — Neutral
Flags · 3
- PIT — Jared Jones: avg 3.7 IP/gs — short outings, bullpen likely needed early
- PIT — Jared Jones: last start: 45 pitches — short outing, possible injury concern or early hook
- PIT — Jared Jones: 2026-06-15: 5 ER in 4.0 IP (ERA equiv 11) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
AI Analysis
Both starters (Chase Burns, Jared Jones) are flagged NO STATS; both bullpens are solid (CIN xERA 2.67, PIT xERA 3.56), which might support an under, but with zero pitcher intel no confident bet can be made.
KCR @ CHW4:10 PM · Rate FieldNeutral Conditions
KCR @ CHWMatchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Michael Wacha R
xERA2.74 (elite)K%12.2 (below avg)HH%27.9 (elite)Barrel%0.0 (elite)ERA3.60IP/gs6.7 IP/gsH/gs7.3PC/gs97BB%3.7
CHW vs RHP
wRC+80 (below avg)K%22.4 (avg)HH%38.9 (avg)
Davis Martin R
xERA4.21 (avg)K%20.0 (avg)HH%42.9 (below avg)Barrel%4.1 (elite)ERA5.87IP/gs5.1 IP/gsH/gs6.3PC/gs88BB%8.6
KCR vs RHP
wRC+139 (elite)K%18.4 (above avg)HH%43.4 (above avg)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalKCR+126+1.5 (-175)O8.5 (-102)CHW-145-1.5 (+150)U8.0 (-110)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalKCR+120+0.5 (-125)O4.5 (-108)CHW-150-0.5 (-104)U4.5 (-120)
Team Totals
OverUnderKCRO3.5 (-120)U3.5 (-104)CHWO4.5 (+114)U4.5 (-140)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UMichael Wacha4.5 (-115 / -108)—Davis Martin5.5 (+110 / -110)17.5 (-161 / +140)
Michael Wacha · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 22@ W7.09956111
W7.09956111Jun 16@ 
L6.09037133
L6.09037133Jun 11vs L7.010229144
L7.010229144Jun 5@ L5.27728045
L5.27728045May 31@ L5.08258466
L5.08258466Davis Martin · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 21@ L6.07745311
L6.07745311Jun 16@ L3.18848399
L3.18848399Jun 10vs 
W6.010066000
W6.010066000Jun 2@ L4.292210366
L4.292210366May 28vs W6.08452211
W6.08452211SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Michael Wacha
IPERAKHBB
vs CHW7.01.295.74.31.0(3)
at CHW6.04.505.06.01.0(1)
Davis Martin
IPERAKHBB
vs KCR6.31.894.74.31.0(3)
home starts6.01.006.04.30.7(3)
Trends · KCR
- KCR are 2-6 vs CHW this season (8 games).
- KCR are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
- KCR are 5-5 in their last 10 away games.
- KCR are 1-4 in Michael Wacha's last 5 starts.
- KCR are 1-4 in Michael Wacha's last 5 away starts.
- KCR average 2.8 runs/game in Michael Wacha's last 5 starts.
- KCR average 3.2 runs/game in Michael Wacha's last 5 away starts.
Trends · CHW
- CHW are 6-2 vs KCR this season (8 games).
- CHW are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
- CHW are 7-3 in their last 10 home games.
- CHW are 2-3 in Davis Martin's last 5 starts.
- CHW are 5-0 in Davis Martin's last 5 home starts.
- CHW average 3.6 runs/game in Davis Martin's last 5 starts.
- CHW average 4.6 runs/game in Davis Martin's last 5 home starts.
Bullpens · Last 12
KCR
xERA 4.68 (below avg)ERA 5.792d stress Elevated (9.7 IP/2g)
CHW
xERA 4.82 (below avg)ERA 4.352d stress Normal (3.0 IP/1g)
Weather · Neutral Conditions
67°F, Partly Cloudy, Wind 11 mph NE
APF 98 — Neutral
Flags · 4
- KCR bullpen elevated (9.7 IP over 2g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
- CHW — Davis Martin: last start: 77 pitches — short outing, possible injury concern or early hook
- CHW — Davis Martin: 2026-06-16: 9 ER in 3.1 IP (ERA equiv 26) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
- CHW — Davis Martin: recent opponents high-K: NYY 25%, DET 28% — K stats may be inflated vs strikeout-prone lineups
AI Analysis
Both starters (Michael Wacha, Davis Martin) are flagged NO STATS; both bullpens are below average (xERA 4.68 and 4.82), which might point to an over, but with no pitcher data the total is unanalyzable.
PHI @ NYM4:10 PM · Citi FieldNeutral Conditions
PHI @ NYMMatchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Alan Rangel R
xERA2.80 (elite)K%27.3 (good)HH%21.7 (elite)Barrel%8.7 (avg)ERA2.25IP/gs8.0 IP (3gs)H/gs?PC/gs58BB%0.0
NYM vs RHP
wRC+107 (avg)K%25.0 (below avg)HH%39.6 (avg)
Christian Scott R
xERA4.36 (avg)K%26.6 (good)HH%35.7 (avg)Barrel%11.9 (below avg)ERA2.93IP/gs5.1 IP/gsH/gs5.0PC/gs94BB%7.8
PHI vs RHP
wRC+175 (elite)K%20.3 (avg)HH%44.1 (above avg)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalPHI+116+1.5 (-175)O8.5 (-110)NYM-136-1.5 (+158)U8.5 (-108)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalPHI+120+0.5 (-122)O4.5 (-128)NYM-150-0.5 (-106)U4.5 (-102)
Team Totals
OverUnderPHIO3.5 (-130)U3.5 (+108)NYMO4.5 (+106)U4.5 (-130)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UAlan Rangel3.5 (-148 / +115)—Christian Scott4.5 (-105 / -115)14.5 (-105 / -135)
Alan Rangel · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 22@ L5.0*7245011
L5.0*7245011Apr 22@ 
L3.0*4453011
L3.0*4453011Christian Scott · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 11vs 
W4.28867144
W4.28867144Jun 5@ W5.29833200
W5.29833200May 30vs 
W5.09685211
W5.09685211May 24@ L5.29454200
L5.29454200May 18@ W4.08154333
W4.08154333SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Christian Scott
IPERAKHBB
vs PHI—
home starts4.54.706.36.31.7(3)
Trends · PHI
- PHI are 3-1 vs NYM this season (4 games).
- PHI are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
- PHI are 6-4 in their last 10 away games.
- PHI have won 4 straight.
Trends · NYM
- NYM are 1-3 vs PHI this season (4 games).
- NYM are 2-8 in their last 10 games.
- NYM are 3-7 in their last 10 home games.
- NYM have lost 8 straight.
- NYM are 4-1 in Christian Scott's last 5 starts.
- NYM are 4-0 in Christian Scott's last 4 home starts.
- NYM average 6.4 runs/game in Christian Scott's last 5 starts.
- NYM average 6.0 runs/game in Christian Scott's last 4 home starts.
Bullpens · Last 12
PHI
xERA 3.56 (good)ERA 4.272d stress Normal (6.0 IP/2g)
NYM
xERA 3.92 (avg)ERA 4.382d stress Normal (7.3 IP/2g)
Weather · Neutral Conditions
78°F, Overcast, Wind 4 mph SSW
APF 101 — Neutral
Flags · 4
- PHI — Alan Rangel: small sample (8.0 IP over 3 starts) — stats may not reflect true ability
- PHI — Alan Rangel: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-06-22, 2026-04-22 — may affect pitch count or availability
- NYM — Christian Scott: 16 days since last start (2026-06-11) — may not be fully stretched out
- NYM — Christian Scott: 2026-06-11: 4 ER in 4.2 IP (ERA equiv 9) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
AI Analysis
Both starters (Alan Rangel, Christian Scott) are flagged NO STATS — first starts of the season; both bullpens are average (PHI xERA 3.56, NYM xERA 3.92) but no pitcher data eliminates all meaningful edges.
ARI @ TBR6:10 PM · Tropicana Field (Dome)
ARI @ TBRMatchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Jose Cabrera R
xERA2.75 (elite)K%16.7 (below avg)HH%35.7 (avg)Barrel%7.1 (good)ERA0.00IP/gs5.0 IP/gsH/gs3.0PC/gs62BB%0.0
TBR vs RHP
wRC+142 (elite)K%18.4 (above avg)HH%37.1 (avg)
Cole Sulser R
xERA0.29 (elite)K%61.5 (elite)HH%40.0 (avg)Barrel%0.0 (elite)ERA0.00IP/gs4.0 IP (3gs)H/gs?PC/gs17BB%0.0
ARI vs RHP
wRC+99 (avg)K%13.7 (elite)HH%35.9 (avg)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalARI+132+1.5 (-165)O8.0 (-102)TBR-154-1.5 (+140)U7.5 (+100)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalARI+132+0.5 (-114)O4.5 (-102)TBR-166-0.5 (-114)U4.5 (-128)
Team Totals
OverUnderARIO3.5 (-110)U3.5 (-115)TBRO4.5 (+114)U4.5 (-145)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UJose Cabrera3.5 (-162 / +132)14.5 (-140 / +100)Cole Sulser——
Jose Cabrera · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 21vs L5.06233000
L5.06233000Cole Sulser · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 24vs W1.0*1421000
W1.0*1421000Jun 22vs L1.0*1320000
L1.0*1320000Jun 20vs L2.0*2540000
L2.0*2540000Jun 17@ L1.1*1101000
L1.1*1101000Jun 13@ L0.2*3925144
L0.2*3925144Trends · ARI
- ARI are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
- ARI are 4-6 in their last 10 away games.
- ARI are 0-1 in Jose Cabrera's last 1 starts.
- ARI average 2.0 runs/game in Jose Cabrera's last 1 starts.
Trends · TBR
- TBR are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
- TBR are 7-3 in their last 10 home games.
- TBR are 1-0 in Cole Sulser's last 1 starts.
- TBR average 8.0 runs/game in Cole Sulser's last 1 starts.
Bullpens · Last 12
ARI
xERA 4.71 (below avg)ERA 4.572d stress Fresh (1.3 IP/2g)
TBR
xERA 3.54 (good)ERA 4.402d stress Stressed (11.0 IP/2g)
Weather · Dome
Dome
Flags · 8
- ARI — Jose Cabrera: small sample (5.0 IP over 3 starts) — stats may not reflect true ability
- TBR — Cole Sulser: small sample (4.0 IP over 3 starts) — stats may not reflect true ability
- ARI bullpen fresh (1.3 IP over 2g) — manager may hook starter early; lean SP K/outs UNDER
- TBR bullpen stressed (11.0 IP over 2g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
- ARI — Jose Cabrera: last start: 62 pitches — short outing, possible injury concern or early hook
- TBR — Cole Sulser: 73 days since last start (2026-04-15) — may not be fully stretched out
- TBR — Cole Sulser: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-06-24, 2026-06-22 — may affect pitch count or availability
- TBR — Cole Sulser: last start: 36 pitches — short outing, possible injury concern or early hook
AI Analysis
Both starters (Jose Cabrera, Cole Sulser) are flagged NO STATS — first starts of the season; philosophy strictly prohibits betting on unknown first-time starters, so this game is a hard pass on all markets.
WSN @ 
BAL7:05 PM · Oriole Park at Camden YardsHitter Friendly
WSN @ BALMatchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Foster Griffin L
xERA2.72 (elite)K%26.0 (good)HH%38.9 (avg)Barrel%5.6 (good)ERA1.40IP/gs6.4 IP/gsH/gs5.3PC/gs102BB%2.6
BAL vs LHP
wRC+98 (avg)K%26.4 (below avg)HH%33.3 (below avg)
Brandon Young R
xERA3.15 (good)K%16.4 (below avg)HH%39.6 (avg)Barrel%0.0 (elite)ERA2.00IP/gs6.0 IP/gsH/gs3.7PC/gs92BB%11.0
WSN vs RHP
wRC+113 (avg)K%21.3 (avg)HH%36.8 (avg)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalWSN+102-1.5 (+168)O9.0 (+100)BAL-120-1.5 (+163)U9.0 (-114)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalWSN-118-0.5 (+116)O4.5 (-125)BAL-106+0.5 (-148)U4.5 (-104)
Team Totals
OverUnderWSNO4.5 (+102)U4.5 (-130)BALO4.5 (+102)U4.5 (-125)
Pitcher Props
K O/UFoster Griffin6.5 (+130 / +115)Brandon Young4.5 (+119 / +122)
Foster Griffin · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 22vs W7.110594011
W7.110594011Jun 16vs W6.010066211
W6.010066211Jun 10@ 
L6.010056011
L6.010056011Jun 5@ W5.06242011
W5.06242011May 30vs W5.09055233
W5.09055233Brandon Young · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 21@ W5.09555211
W5.09555211Jun 16@ L6.09224433
L6.09224433Jun 10vs W7.08852200
W7.08852200Jun 5@ W6.18547033
W6.18547033May 30vs W6.28677122
W6.28677122SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Brandon Young
IPERAKHBB
vs WSN3.25.623.05.03.0(1)
home starts6.50.935.34.71.7(3)
Trends · WSN
- WSN are 2-2 vs BAL this season (4 games).
- WSN are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
- WSN are 5-5 in their last 10 away games.
- WSN have lost 4 straight.
- WSN are 4-1 in Foster Griffin's last 5 starts.
- WSN are 3-2 in Foster Griffin's last 5 away starts.
- WSN average 8.6 runs/game in Foster Griffin's last 5 starts.
- WSN average 6.0 runs/game in Foster Griffin's last 5 away starts.
Trends · BAL
- BAL are 2-2 vs WSN this season (4 games).
- BAL are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
- BAL are 6-4 in their last 10 home games.
- BAL are 4-1 in Brandon Young's last 5 starts.
- BAL are 4-1 in Brandon Young's last 5 home starts.
- BAL average 7.8 runs/game in Brandon Young's last 5 starts.
- BAL average 5.2 runs/game in Brandon Young's last 5 home starts.
Bullpens · Last 12
WSN
xERA 5.01 (below avg)ERA 6.142d stress Normal (6.7 IP/2g)
BAL
xERA 4.11 (avg)ERA 3.572d stress Normal (2.7 IP/1g)
Weather · Hitter Friendly
81°F, Overcast, Wind 9 mph SSW
APF 106 — Hitter Friendly
Flags · 2
- WSN bullpen: bullpen xERA 5.01 — bullpen performing well below average by expected ERA
- WSN — Foster Griffin: last start: 105 pitches — high pitch count, may be on shorter leash today
AI Analysis
Both starters (Foster Griffin, Brandon Young) are flagged NO STATS; WSN bullpen xERA 5.01 is borderline disqualifying for full-game ML/spread, but with zero pitcher intel there is no legitimate edge to express in any market.
CHC @ MIL7:10 PM · American Family FieldNeutral Conditions
CHC @ MILMatchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
David Peterson L
xERA6.13 (poor)K%13.2 (below avg)HH%40.0 (avg)Barrel%12.5 (below avg)ERA10.97IP/gs10.7 IP/gsH/gs15.0PC/gs65BB%11.3
MIL vs LHP
wRC+104 (avg)K%25.1 (below avg)HH%43.6 (above avg)
Kyle Harrison L
xERA2.77 (elite)K%22.9 (avg)HH%45.5 (poor)Barrel%9.1 (avg)ERA6.14IP/gs4.9 IP/gsH/gs5.0PC/gs79BB%3.3
CHC vs LHP
wRC+193 (elite)K%15.4 (elite)HH%42.0 (above avg)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalCHC+140+1.5 (-149)O8.0 (-105)MIL-164-1.5 (+130)U8.0 (-108)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalCHC+136+0.5 (-110)O4.5 (+106)MIL-172-0.5 (-118)U4.5 (-138)
Team Totals
OverUnderCHCO3.5 (-104)U3.5 (-122)MILO4.5 (+106)U4.5 (-130)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UDavid Peterson——Kyle Harrison5.5 (-150 / +122)17.5 (-101 / -130)
David Peterson · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 21@ L4.07956245
L4.07956245Jun 15@ L3.0*5412233
L3.0*5412233Jun 10vs L3.2*6317266
L3.2*6317266May 31vs W4.0*5131100
W4.0*5131100May 26vs L5.090411366
L5.090411366Kyle Harrison · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 20@ L6.18574022
L6.18574022Jun 14vs W6.08033000
W6.08033000Jun 8@ W2.17148288
W2.17148288Jun 2vs W5.2106124211
W5.2106124211May 26vs W6.09224000
W6.09224000SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
David Peterson
IPERAKHBB
vs MIL6.21.454.05.03.0(1)
at MIL—
Kyle Harrison
IPERAKHBB
vs CHC7.00.0011.02.01.0(1)
home starts5.70.525.73.70.7(3)
Trends · CHC
- CHC are 0-4 vs MIL this season (4 games).
- CHC are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
- CHC are 7-3 in their last 10 away games.
Trends · MIL
- MIL are 4-0 vs CHC this season (4 games).
- MIL are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
- MIL are 6-4 in their last 10 home games.
- MIL have won 5 straight.
- MIL are 4-1 in Kyle Harrison's last 5 starts.
- MIL are 5-0 in Kyle Harrison's last 5 home starts.
- MIL average 7.2 runs/game in Kyle Harrison's last 5 starts.
- MIL average 5.8 runs/game in Kyle Harrison's last 5 home starts.
Bullpens · Last 12
CHC
xERA 4.66 (below avg)ERA 5.072d stress Elevated (8.3 IP/2g)
MIL
xERA 3.19 (good)ERA 4.462d stress Normal (3.0 IP/1g)
Weather · Neutral Conditions
70°F, Overcast, Wind 8 mph NE
APF 98 — Neutral
Flags · 7
- CHC — David Peterson: Barrel% 12% — high hard contact rate, elevated home run risk
- MIL — Kyle Harrison: HH% 45% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
- CHC bullpen elevated (8.3 IP over 2g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
- CHC — David Peterson: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-06-15, 2026-06-10 — may affect pitch count or availability
- CHC — David Peterson: last start: 79 pitches — short outing, possible injury concern or early hook
- CHC — David Peterson: recent opponents high-K: WSN 25%, PHI 26% — K stats may be inflated vs strikeout-prone lineups
- MIL — Kyle Harrison: 2026-06-08: 8 ER in 2.1 IP (ERA equiv 34) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
AI Analysis
Both starters (David Peterson, Kyle Harrison) are flagged NO STATS; CHC bullpen xERA 4.66 limits full-game ML confidence even if a side edge existed, and no pitcher data eliminates all edges.
SEA @ CLE7:10 PM · Progressive FieldNeutral Conditions
SEA @ CLEMatchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Logan Gilbert
xERA?K%?HH%?Barrel%?ERA?IP/gs—H/gs?PC/gs?BB%?
CLE
No data
Slade Cecconi R
xERA3.63 (good)K%17.1 (avg)HH%48.1 (poor)Barrel%7.7 (good)ERA2.70IP/gs5.6 IP/gsH/gs5.0PC/gs83BB%8.6
SEA vs RHP
wRC+68 (poor)K%24.5 (below avg)HH%37.8 (avg)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalSEA-149-1.5 (+115)O8.0 (-105)CLE+130+1.5 (-132)U7.5 (+100)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalSEA-166-0.5 (-115)O4.5 (+106)CLE+132+0.5 (-113)U4.5 (-138)
Team Totals
OverUnderSEAO4.5 (+102)U4.5 (-125)CLEO3.5 (+106)U3.5 (-130)
Pitcher Props
K O/ULogan Gilbert5.5 (-160 / +132)Slade Cecconi4.5 (+112 / -120)
Slade Cecconi · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 21@ L6.07916222
L6.07916222Jun 16@ L5.28243211
L5.28243211Jun 9vs L5.08776222
L5.08776222Jun 4@ L6.08244111
L6.08244111May 29vs W4.16937033
W4.16937033SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Slade Cecconi
IPERAKHBB
vs SEA4.113.175.06.03.0(1)
home starts4.43.445.76.01.0(3)
Trends · SEA
- SEA are 3-2 vs CLE this season (5 games).
- SEA are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
- SEA are 4-6 in their last 10 away games.
Trends · CLE
- CLE are 2-3 vs SEA this season (5 games).
- CLE are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
- CLE are 3-7 in their last 10 home games.
- CLE are 1-4 in Slade Cecconi's last 5 starts.
- CLE are 2-3 in Slade Cecconi's last 5 home starts.
- CLE average 1.8 runs/game in Slade Cecconi's last 5 starts.
- CLE average 2.2 runs/game in Slade Cecconi's last 5 home starts.
Bullpens · Last 12
SEA
xERA 2.66 (elite)ERA 5.562d stress Normal (5.3 IP/2g)
CLE
xERA 4.99 (below avg)ERA 5.172d stress Normal (3.0 IP/1g)
Weather · Neutral Conditions
72°F, Overcast, Wind 8 mph NNE
APF 99 — Neutral
Flags · 3
- SEA — Logan Gilbert: first start of the season — no stats available yet
- CLE — Slade Cecconi: HH% 48% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
- CLE — Slade Cecconi: last start: 79 pitches — short outing, possible injury concern or early hook
AI Analysis
Both starters (Logan Gilbert, Slade Cecconi) are flagged NO STATS; SEA ML at -149 is already beyond the -150 pricing threshold, and CLE bullpen xERA 4.99 is a concern — no actionable edge without pitcher data.
COL @ MIN7:10 PM · Target FieldHitter Friendly
COL @ MINMatchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Michael Lorenzen R
xERA2.90 (elite)K%26.2 (good)HH%51.2 (poor)Barrel%4.7 (elite)ERA3.52IP/gs5.1 IP/gsH/gs4.7PC/gs88BB%6.2
MIN vs RHP
wRC+167 (elite)K%16.2 (above avg)HH%42.6 (above avg)
Mike Paredes R
xERA5.34 (poor)K%13.0 (below avg)HH%55.0 (poor)Barrel%5.0 (elite)ERA3.55IP/gs4.2 IP/gsH/gs3.7PC/gs64BB%9.3
COL vs RHP
wRC+130 (elite)K%19.3 (above avg)HH%33.7 (below avg)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalCOL+120+1.5 (-170)O9.0 (-115)MIN-138-1.5 (+152)U9.0 (+100)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalCOL+112+0.5 (-128)O5.5 (+112)MIN-138-0.5 (-102)U5.5 (-146)
Team Totals
OverUnderCOLO4.5 (+108)U4.5 (-135)MINO4.5 (-115)U4.5 (+100)
Pitcher Props
K O/UMichael Lorenzen4.5 (+120 / -137)Mike Paredes3.5 (-120 / +104)
Michael Lorenzen · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 21vs L5.19057144
L5.19057144Jun 15@ L5.08955111
L5.08955111Jun 10vs W5.08472211
W5.08472211Jun 3@ L3.185510288
L3.185510288May 29vs W3.27025233
W3.27025233Mike Paredes · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 21@ W5.07516322
W5.07516322Jun 15@ W4.25924022
W4.25924022Jun 10@ W3.05841211
W3.05841211Jun 4vs L3.2*5012133
L3.2*5012133May 31@ L3.2*6532312
L3.2*6532312SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Michael Lorenzen
IPERAKHBB
vs MIN5.54.054.06.00.0(2)
at MIN—
Trends · COL
- COL are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
- COL are 4-6 in their last 10 away games.
- COL are 2-3 in Michael Lorenzen's last 5 starts.
- COL are 0-5 in Michael Lorenzen's last 5 away starts.
- COL average 5.0 runs/game in Michael Lorenzen's last 5 starts.
- COL average 3.4 runs/game in Michael Lorenzen's last 5 away starts.
Trends · MIN
- MIN are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
- MIN are 4-6 in their last 10 home games.
- MIN are 3-0 in Mike Paredes's last 3 starts.
- MIN average 4.7 runs/game in Mike Paredes's last 3 starts.
Bullpens · Last 12
COL
xERA 5.29 (poor)ERA 3.732d stress Elevated (4.0 IP/1g)
MIN
xERA 3.99 (avg)ERA 6.912d stress Normal (3.0 IP/1g)
Weather · Hitter Friendly
81°F, Overcast, Wind 11 mph SE
APF 106 — Hitter Friendly
Flags · 7
- COL — Michael Lorenzen: HH% 51% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
- MIN — Mike Paredes: HH% 55% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
- COL bullpen: bullpen xERA 5.29 — bullpen performing well below average by expected ERA
- COL bullpen elevated (4.0 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
- COL — Michael Lorenzen: 2026-06-21: 4 ER in 5.1 IP (ERA equiv 7) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
- MIN — Mike Paredes: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-06-04, 2026-05-31 — may affect pitch count or availability
- MIN — Mike Paredes: last start: 75 pitches — short outing, possible injury concern or early hook
AI Analysis
Both starters (Michael Lorenzen, Mike Paredes) are flagged NO STATS; COL bullpen xERA 5.29 is disqualifying for full-game ML/spread on COL's side, and without pitcher data the over cannot be responsibly recommended despite the high total and bad bullpens.
MIA @ STL7:15 PM · Busch StadiumLightning
MIA @ STLMatchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Ryan Gusto R
xERA4.99 (below avg)K%18.3 (avg)HH%46.5 (poor)Barrel%11.6 (below avg)ERA4.15IP/gs4.3 IP/gsH/gs4.7PC/gs75BB%10.0
STL vs RHP
wRC+138 (elite)K%15.8 (elite)HH%45.4 (elite)
Andre Pallante R
xERA3.07 (good)K%18.1 (avg)HH%32.7 (good)Barrel%5.5 (good)ERA2.37IP/gs6.3 IP/gsH/gs4.3PC/gs90BB%2.8
MIA vs RHP
wRC+116 (above avg)K%24.4 (below avg)HH%40.3 (above avg)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalMIA+122+1.5 (-170)O8.5 (-117)STL-140-1.5 (+146)U8.5 (+100)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalMIA+122+0.5 (-120)O4.5 (-120)STL-152-0.5 (-108)U4.5 (-108)
Team Totals
OverUnderMIAO3.5 (-136)U3.5 (+110)STLO4.5 (-104)U4.5 (-122)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/URyan Gusto3.5 (-129 / +101)14.5 (-149 / +112)Andre Pallante4.5 (-108 / -117)17.5 (-110 / -115)
Ryan Gusto · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 21vs W4.16863211
W4.16863211Jun 15@ L4.29118355
L4.29118355Jun 10vs W4.06643100
W4.06643100Jun 5vs L2.03313133
L2.03313133Jun 2@ W2.0*4035033
W2.0*4035033Andre Pallante · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 22vs W6.08526011
W6.08526011Jun 16vs W7.09264022
W7.09264022Jun 10@ W6.09353222
W6.09353222Jun 3vs W5.28553211
W5.28553211May 29vs W3.07538144
W3.07538144SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Andre Pallante
IPERAKHBB
vs MIA6.03.724.04.52.0(2)
home starts6.11.984.34.30.7(3)
Trends · MIA
- MIA are 3-1 vs STL this season (4 games).
- MIA are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
- MIA are 7-3 in their last 10 away games.
- MIA are 2-2 in Ryan Gusto's last 4 starts.
- MIA are 0-1 in Ryan Gusto's last 1 away starts.
- MIA average 2.5 runs/game in Ryan Gusto's last 4 starts.
- MIA average 0.0 runs/game in Ryan Gusto's last 1 away starts.
Trends · STL
- STL are 1-3 vs MIA this season (4 games).
- STL are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
- STL are 5-5 in their last 10 home games.
- STL have lost 4 straight.
- STL are 5-0 in Andre Pallante's last 5 starts.
- STL are 4-1 in Andre Pallante's last 5 home starts.
- STL average 5.2 runs/game in Andre Pallante's last 5 starts.
- STL average 3.4 runs/game in Andre Pallante's last 5 home starts.
Bullpens · Last 12
MIA
xERA 3.55 (good)ERA 2.722d stress Fresh (2.0 IP/1g)
STL
xERA 5.64 (poor)ERA 6.692d stress Fresh (3.0 IP/2g)
Weather · Lightning
81°F, Thunderstorm, Wind 3 mph WSW
APF 101 — Neutral
Flags · 7
- MIA — Ryan Gusto: HH% 47% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
- STL bullpen: bullpen xERA 5.64 — bullpen performing well below average by expected ERA
- MIA bullpen fresh (2.0 IP over 1g) — manager may hook starter early; lean SP K/outs UNDER
- STL bullpen fresh (3.0 IP over 2g) — manager may hook starter early; lean SP K/outs UNDER
- MIA — Ryan Gusto: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-06-02, 2026-04-08 — may affect pitch count or availability
- MIA — Ryan Gusto: last start: 68 pitches — short outing, possible injury concern or early hook
- MIA — Ryan Gusto: 2026-06-15: 5 ER in 4.2 IP (ERA equiv 11) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
AI Analysis
Both starters (Ryan Gusto, Andre Pallante) are flagged NO STATS; STL bullpen xERA 5.64 is disqualifying for full-game STL ML/spread, and with zero pitcher data and fresh pens on both sides (early hook flags) no confident bet exists.
LAD @ SDP8:40 PM · Petco ParkNeutral Conditions
LAD @ SDPMatchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Y. Yamamoto R
xERA2.14 (elite)K%21.5 (avg)HH%30.0 (elite)Barrel%3.3 (elite)ERA2.01IP/gs7.4 IP/gsH/gs3.0PC/gs101BB%2.5
SDP vs RHP
wRC+102 (avg)K%24.7 (below avg)HH%39.8 (avg)
Randy Vasquez R
xERA6.56 (poor)K%13.9 (below avg)HH%44.9 (below avg)Barrel%12.2 (below avg)ERA8.76IP/gs4.1 IP/gsH/gs7.3PC/gs82BB%10.8
LAD vs RHP
wRC+135 (elite)K%24.6 (below avg)HH%39.9 (avg)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalLAD-200-1.5 (-115)O8.0 (-108)SDP+172+1.5 (-102)U8.0 (-110)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalLAD-215-0.5 (-140)O4.5 (-108)SDP+168+0.5 (+108)U4.5 (-120)
Team Totals
OverUnderLADO4.5 (-120)U4.5 (-105)SDPO3.5 (+120)U2.5 (+124)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UY. Yamamoto6.5 (+120 / -142)18.5 (+105 / -127)Randy Vasquez3.5 (+110 / -134)15.5 (+119 / -159)
Y. Yamamoto · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 20vs L6.010266233
L6.010266233Jun 13@ W8.110971011
W8.110971011Jun 6vs W8.09342011
W8.09342011May 31vs W5.1104104200
W5.1104104200May 24@ W7.09237111
W7.09237111Randy Vasquez · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 19@ L3.17218367
L3.17218367Jun 13@ W5.010056222
W5.010056222Jun 7vs L4.07538244
L4.07538244Jun 2@ L5.08035122
L5.08035122May 26vs L5.29928144
L5.29928144SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Y. Yamamoto
IPERAKHBB
vs SDP6.42.836.34.71.3(3)
at SDP6.52.087.03.52.0(2)
Randy Vasquez
IPERAKHBB
vs LAD4.55.931.05.01.5(2)
home starts4.47.441.77.32.0(3)
Trends · LAD
- LAD are 2-2 vs SDP this season (4 games).
- LAD are 7-3 in their last 10 games.
- LAD are 6-4 in their last 10 away games.
- LAD are 4-1 in Y. Yamamoto's last 5 starts.
- LAD are 3-2 in Y. Yamamoto's last 5 away starts.
- LAD average 6.4 runs/game in Y. Yamamoto's last 5 starts.
- LAD average 4.2 runs/game in Y. Yamamoto's last 5 away starts.
Trends · SDP
- SDP are 2-2 vs LAD this season (4 games).
- SDP are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
- SDP are 7-3 in their last 10 home games.
- SDP have won 4 straight.
- SDP are 1-4 in Randy Vasquez's last 5 starts.
- SDP are 2-3 in Randy Vasquez's last 5 home starts.
- SDP average 4.8 runs/game in Randy Vasquez's last 5 starts.
- SDP average 3.8 runs/game in Randy Vasquez's last 5 home starts.
Bullpens · Last 12
LAD
xERA 2.64 (elite)ERA 2.832d stress Elevated (4.0 IP/1g)
SDP
xERA 3.70 (good)ERA 2.982d stress Normal (3.7 IP/1g)
Weather · Neutral Conditions
70°F, Overcast, Wind 9 mph W
APF 98 — Neutral
Flags · 6
- SDP — Randy Vasquez: HH% 45% — batters are squaring up the ball at an elevated rate
- SDP — Randy Vasquez: Barrel% 12% — high hard contact rate, elevated home run risk
- LAD bullpen elevated (4.0 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
- LAD — Y. Yamamoto: last start: 102 pitches — high pitch count, may be on shorter leash today
- LAD — Y. Yamamoto: recent opponents high-K: LAA 26%, BAL 28% — K stats may be inflated vs strikeout-prone lineups
- SDP — Randy Vasquez: last start: 72 pitches — short outing, possible injury concern or early hook
AI Analysis
Both starters (Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Randy Vásquez) are flagged NO STATS; LAD ML is -200 which breaches the hard -150 pricing rule, eliminating the most obvious side bet, and no pitcher data removes all other edges.
ATL @ SFG9:05 PM · Oracle ParkWindy
ATL @ SFGMatchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Bryce Elder R
xERA4.62 (below avg)K%15.4 (below avg)HH%41.7 (below avg)Barrel%6.7 (good)ERA9.00IP/gs5.3 IP/gsH/gs8.0PC/gs86BB%7.7
SFG vs RHP
wRC+137 (elite)K%19.3 (above avg)HH%36.2 (avg)
Logan Webb R
xERA2.42 (elite)K%22.1 (avg)HH%36.4 (avg)Barrel%4.5 (elite)ERA1.13IP/gs8.0 IP/gsH/gs5.7PC/gs103BB%1.2
ATL vs RHP
wRC+51 (poor)K%24.1 (below avg)HH%37.2 (avg)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalATL+116+1.5 (-188)O8.0 (+100)SFG-130-1.5 (+158)U7.5 (+100)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalATL+120+0.5 (-128)O4.5 (+112)SFG-150-0.5 (-102)U4.5 (-146)
Team Totals
OverUnderATLO3.5 (-111)U3.5 (-110)SFGO3.5 (-145)U3.5 (+116)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UBryce Elder4.5 (+120 / -147)16.5 (-121 / -109)Logan Webb5.5 (+120 / -147)18.5 (-122 / -109)
Bryce Elder · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 21vs L6.095612288
L6.095612288Jun 14@ L4.075210266
L4.075210266Jun 7vs W6.08842222
W6.08842222Jun 2vs W6.210366133
W6.210366133May 27@ L3.15919156
L3.15919156Logan Webb · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 21@ L8.010355122
L8.010355122Jun 14vs W8.010677001
W8.010677001Jun 8vs L8.09975011
L8.09975011Jun 3@ W7.09541100
W7.09541100May 29@ L4.18653311
L4.18653311SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Bryce Elder
IPERAKHBB
vs SFG6.52.776.55.51.5(2)
at SFG8.01.1212.03.00.0(1)
Logan Webb
IPERAKHBB
vs ATL6.03.0010.06.00.0(1)
home starts6.73.156.06.30.0(3)
Trends · ATL
- ATL are 1-4 vs SFG this season (5 games).
- ATL are 3-7 in their last 10 games.
- ATL are 2-8 in their last 10 away games.
- ATL are 2-3 in Bryce Elder's last 5 starts.
- ATL are 3-2 in Bryce Elder's last 5 away starts.
- ATL average 2.4 runs/game in Bryce Elder's last 5 starts.
- ATL average 4.0 runs/game in Bryce Elder's last 5 away starts.
Trends · SFG
- SFG are 4-1 vs ATL this season (5 games).
- SFG are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
- SFG are 4-6 in their last 10 home games.
- SFG are 2-3 in Logan Webb's last 5 starts.
- SFG are 1-4 in Logan Webb's last 5 home starts.
- SFG average 3.2 runs/game in Logan Webb's last 5 starts.
- SFG average 3.0 runs/game in Logan Webb's last 5 home starts.
Bullpens · Last 12
ATL
xERA 3.60 (good)ERA 1.972d stress Stressed (6.0 IP/1g)
SFG
xERA 5.15 (below avg)ERA 5.842d stress Normal (6.7 IP/2g)
Weather · Windy
63°F, Clear, Wind 19 mph WNW
APF 99 — Neutral
Flags · 4
- SFG bullpen: bullpen xERA 5.15 — bullpen performing well below average by expected ERA
- ATL bullpen stressed (6.0 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
- SFG — Logan Webb: last start: 103 pitches — high pitch count, may be on shorter leash today
- WEATHER: wind: Blowing Out 19 mph — factor into total and HR expectations
AI Analysis
Both starters (Bryce Elder, Logan Webb) are flagged NO STATS; SFG bullpen xERA 5.15 is a concern and wind blowing out 19 mph is notable, but without any pitcher data we cannot responsibly size an over bet or any other market.
ATH @ LAA9:38 PM · Angel StadiumNeutral Conditions
ATH @ LAAMatchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12
Jack Perkins R
xERA3.37 (good)K%28.6 (elite)HH%36.8 (avg)Barrel%5.3 (good)ERA6.43IP/gs4.7 IP/gsH/gs5.0PC/gs84BB%11.1
LAA vs RHP
wRC+128 (above avg)K%26.2 (below avg)HH%40.6 (above avg)
Reid Detmers L
xERA2.62 (elite)K%21.9 (avg)HH%37.7 (avg)Barrel%5.7 (good)ERA2.70IP/gs6.7 IP/gsH/gs3.3PC/gs90BB%5.5
ATH vs LHP
wRC+96 (avg)K%21.3 (avg)HH%45.6 (elite)
Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics
Full Game
MLSpreadTotalATH-104-1.5 (+160)O8.5 (-106)LAA-110+1.5 (-175)U8.5 (-110)
First 5 Innings
MLSpreadTotalATH-112-0.5 (+122)O4.5 (-110)LAA-112+0.5 (-160)U4.5 (-118)
Team Totals
OverUnderATHO4.5 (+116)U4.5 (-140)LAAO3.5 (-140)U3.5 (+116)
Pitcher Props
K O/UOuts O/UJack Perkins5.5 (-130 / +116)15.5 (+112 / -149)Reid Detmers6.5 (-144 / +118)17.5 (-130 / +125)
Jack Perkins · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 21vs L5.07884244
L5.07884244Jun 16vs L5.08566233
L5.08566233Jun 10vs W4.08945333
W4.08945333Jun 5@ L4.07565255
L4.07565255May 31vs L2.1*3000000
L2.1*3000000Reid Detmers · Last 5 Outings
DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR
Jun 21@ W6.09046455
W6.09046455Jun 16@ W7.09034000
W7.09034000Jun 10vs W7.08991011
W7.08991011Jun 5@ L6.09162200
L6.09162200May 30@ W5.09275333
W5.09275333SP vs Opp / At Park · last 3 (2 seasons)
Jack Perkins
IPERAKHBB
vs LAA5.06.307.54.52.5(2)
at LAA—
Reid Detmers
IPERAKHBB
vs ATH5.610.456.07.03.0(2)
home starts6.74.4610.33.30.7(3)
Trends · ATH
- ATH are 6-3 vs LAA this season (9 games).
- ATH are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
- ATH are 5-5 in their last 10 away games.
- ATH are 1-3 in Jack Perkins's last 4 starts.
- ATH are 0-1 in Jack Perkins's last 1 away starts.
- ATH average 4.2 runs/game in Jack Perkins's last 4 starts.
- ATH average 1.0 runs/game in Jack Perkins's last 1 away starts.
Trends · LAA
- LAA are 3-6 vs ATH this season (9 games).
- LAA are 5-5 in their last 10 games.
- LAA are 6-4 in their last 10 home games.
- LAA are 4-1 in Reid Detmers's last 5 starts.
- LAA are 3-2 in Reid Detmers's last 5 home starts.
- LAA average 6.6 runs/game in Reid Detmers's last 5 starts.
- LAA average 3.4 runs/game in Reid Detmers's last 5 home starts.
Bullpens · Last 12
ATH
xERA 4.18 (avg)ERA 8.102d stress Normal (6.7 IP/2g)
LAA
xERA 3.45 (good)ERA 3.612d stress Elevated (4.7 IP/1g)
Weather · Neutral Conditions
71°F, Clear, Wind 9 mph SW
APF 102 — Neutral
Flags · 4
- LAA bullpen elevated (4.7 IP over 1g) — manager likely leaves starter in longer; lean SP K/outs OVER
- ATH — Jack Perkins: recent bullpen appearance: 2026-05-31, 2026-05-30 — may affect pitch count or availability
- ATH — Jack Perkins: last start: 78 pitches — short outing, possible injury concern or early hook
- LAA — Reid Detmers: 2026-06-21: 5 ER in 6.0 IP (ERA equiv 8) skewing 3-game ERA — other starts look better, don't overweight the ERA
AI Analysis
Both starters (Jack Perkins, Reid Detmers) are flagged NO STATS — first starts of the season; no pitcher data makes any edge unquantifiable.