MLB Game Overviews

TEX @

MIA

12:10 PM · loanDepot park (Roof Closed)

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Jacob deGrom R

xERA2.52 (elite)K%27.4 (good)HH%31.2 (good)Barrel%4.2 (elite)ERA4.00IP/gs6.0 IP/gsH/gs5.0PC/gs96BB%6.9

MIA vs RHP

wRC+106 (avg)K%22.2 (avg)HH%39.5 (avg)

Eury Perez R

xERA4.37 (avg)K%32.8 (elite)HH%41.2 (below avg)Barrel%20.6 (poor)ERA3.52IP/gs5.1 IP/gsH/gs3.3PC/gs76BB%6.9

TEX vs RHP

wRC+116 (above avg)K%20.4 (avg)HH%41.3 (above avg)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalTEX+2500+2.5 (+310)O5.5 (+308)MIA-6000-2.5 (-330)U5.5 (-330)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalTEX-130-0.5 (+108)O3.5 (-138)MIA+112+0.5 (-140)U3.5 (+106)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UJacob deGrom6.5 (-122 / +116)17.5 (-136 / +111)Eury Perez4.5 (-120 / +110)—

Jacob deGrom · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24@

L6.09184222

Jun 19vs

W6.010696366

Jun 13@

L6.09056022

Jun 7vs

W6.08763200

Jun 1@

W5.09184100

Eury Perez · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24vs

W4.26813011

May 27@

L4.07393000

May 22vs

W6.18652011

May 17@

L5.010255455

May 12@

L6.08783333

Bullpens · Last 12

TEX

xERA 3.71 (good)ERA 5.44

MIA

xERA 3.21 (good)ERA 2.54

Weather · Roof Closed

Roof Closed

Flags · 4

MIA — Eury Perez: elevated Barrel% 21%
TEX — Jacob deGrom: 2026-06-19: 6 ER in 6.0 IP (ERA equiv 9) is inflating 3-game xERA — other 2 starts averaged 3.00 ERA equiv
MIA — Eury Perez: missed a turn (28-day gap between starts)
MIA — Eury Perez: low pitch count last start (68 pitches) — may have been managing something

CLE @

CHW

2:10 PM · Rate FieldNeutral Conditions

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Tanner Bibee R

xERA3.92 (avg)K%24.3 (good)HH%44.0 (below avg)Barrel%8.0 (good)ERA2.21IP/gs6.8 IP/gsH/gs3.0PC/gs91BB%8.1

CHW vs RHP

wRC+82 (below avg)K%22.1 (avg)HH%38.6 (avg)

Erick Fedde R

xERA3.73 (good)K%22.2 (avg)HH%29.7 (elite)Barrel%8.1 (avg)ERA2.19IP/gs12.3 IP/gsH/gs13.0PC/gs75BB%5.6

CLE vs RHP

wRC+108 (avg)K%29.4 (poor)HH%39.0 (avg)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalCLE-112-1.5 (+148)O8.5 (-104)CHW-104+1.5 (-172)U8.0 (-105)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalCLE-115-0.5 (+116)O4.5 (-122)CHW-106+0.5 (-152)U4.5 (-106)

Pitcher Props

K O/UTanner Bibee5.5 (+115 / +138)Erick Fedde—

Tanner Bibee · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 19@

L5.19574234

Jun 12vs

W7.09182222

Jun 6@

W8.08733200

May 31vs

L6.09056133

May 25vs

L3.06138077

Erick Fedde · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 19@

L4.27844122

Jun 14vs

W2.25843200

Jun 9vs

W5.08846012

Jun 3@

W5.06122100

May 29vs

W4.08434322

Bullpens · Last 12

CLE

xERA 4.08 (avg)ERA 4.60

CHW

xERA 4.94 (below avg)ERA 4.47

Weather · Neutral Conditions

72°F, Overcast, Wind 6 mph S

APF 99 — Neutral

Flags · 3

CHW — Erick Fedde: small sample (12.1 IP over 3 starts)
CHW — Erick Fedde: low pitch count last start (78 pitches) — may have been managing something
WEATHER: hitter-friendly conditions (adj factor 99) — adjust pitcher xERA expectations up

BOS @

COL

3:10 PM · Coors FieldLightning

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Ranger Suarez L

xERA2.38 (elite)K%25.0 (good)HH%24.5 (elite)Barrel%4.1 (elite)ERA1.50IP/gs6.0 IP/gsH/gs4.3PC/gs94BB%6.9

COL vs LHP

wRC+111 (avg)K%25.7 (below avg)HH%31.5 (below avg)

Kyle Freeland L

xERA3.21 (good)K%18.7 (avg)HH%48.3 (poor)Barrel%8.3 (avg)ERA5.50IP/gs6.0 IP/gsH/gs7.0PC/gs88BB%1.3

BOS vs LHP

wRC+176 (elite)K%22.6 (avg)HH%33.3 (below avg)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalBOS-168-1.5 (-110)O11.0 (-105)COL+144+1.5 (-104)U10.5 (-104)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalBOS-172-0.5 (-128)O5.5 (-122)COL+136+0.5 (-102)U5.5 (-106)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/URanger Suarez4.5 (-160 / +126)17.5 (-125 / -101)Kyle Freeland4.5 (+136 / -168)15.5 (-102 / -122)

Ranger Suarez · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 19@

W6.29451300

Jun 13vs

W5.09776222

Jun 7@

L6.19066011

May 31@

W5.093108244

May 26vs

L5.09146355

Kyle Freeland · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 19vs

W7.18184022

Jun 13@

L5.295410066

Jun 7vs

L5.08927133

Jun 1@

W5.29147156

May 26@

L4.08149088

Bullpens · Last 12

BOS

xERA 2.58 (elite)ERA 3.82

COL

xERA 5.61 (poor)ERA 4.22

Weather · Lightning

82°F, Thunderstorm, Wind 8 mph NNE

APF 114 — Hitter Friendly

Flags · 3

COL — Kyle Freeland: getting squared up (Hard-Hit% 48%)
COL bullpen: bullpen is a liability (xERA 5.61)
WEATHER: extreme hitter's park (adj factor 114) — xERAs will play higher than usual

BAL @

LAA

4:07 PM · Angel StadiumHitter Friendly

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Trey Gibson R

xERA4.81 (below avg)K%22.4 (avg)HH%41.5 (below avg)Barrel%4.9 (elite)ERA7.71IP/gs4.7 IP/gsH/gs5.0PC/gs86BB%14.9

LAA vs RHP

wRC+131 (elite)K%24.0 (below avg)HH%38.4 (avg)

Jose Soriano R

xERA3.96 (avg)K%18.6 (avg)HH%40.8 (below avg)Barrel%8.2 (avg)ERA4.50IP/gs5.3 IP/gsH/gs5.7PC/gs90BB%11.4

BAL vs RHP

wRC+118 (above avg)K%26.6 (below avg)HH%43.0 (above avg)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalBAL+103-1.5 (+160)O9.5 (+100)LAA-115+1.5 (-180)U9.0 (+100)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalBAL+108+0.5 (-130)O4.5 (-140)LAA-130-0.5 (+100)U4.5 (+108)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UTrey Gibson4.5 (-118 / -107)15.5 (+114 / -151)Jose Soriano6.5 (+100 / -114)17.5 (-126 / -102)

Trey Gibson · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 19@

L5.09787433

Jun 13vs

L4.19373566

Jun 8vs

L4.26805133

May 27vs

W5.210016411

May 8vs

L2.03023111

Jose Soriano · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 19@

L5.010566444

Jun 13vs

W5.07653200

Jun 7@

W6.08828245

Jun 1vs

L4.210873723

May 27@

L5.010547433

Bullpens · Last 12

BAL

xERA 4.15 (avg)ERA 2.86

LAA

xERA 3.32 (good)ERA 3.86

Weather · Hitter Friendly

80°F, Clear, Wind 9 mph SW

APF 103 — Hitter Friendly

Flags · 3

BAL — Trey Gibson: ERA 7.71 >> xERA 4.81 — likely unlucky; may be better than ERA shows (check LOB%/BABIP)
BAL — Trey Gibson: missed a turn (19-day gap between starts)
LAA — Jose Soriano: high pitch count last start (105 pitches) — monitor workload today

NYY @

DET

6:40 PM · Comerica ParkNeutral Conditions

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Ryan Weathers L

xERA4.19 (avg)K%20.6 (avg)HH%42.0 (below avg)Barrel%14.0 (below avg)ERA6.48IP/gs5.6 IP/gsH/gs5.0PC/gs88BB%4.4

DET vs LHP

wRC+91 (below avg)K%25.2 (below avg)HH%39.4 (avg)

Tarik Skubal L

xERA4.35 (avg)K%27.1 (good)HH%45.8 (poor)Barrel%8.3 (avg)ERA3.63IP/gs5.8 IP/gsH/gs5.7PC/gs88BB%2.9

NYY vs LHP

wRC+113 (avg)K%21.3 (avg)HH%33.1 (below avg)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalNYY+114+1.5 (-195)O7.5 (+105)DET-130-1.5 (+168)U7.0 (+103)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalNYY+130+0.5 (-132)O3.5 (-125)DET-150-0.5 (+102)U3.5 (-104)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/URyan Weathers5.5 (-118 / -107)17.5 (-130 / -102)Tarik Skubal6.5 (-120 / +111)18.5 (+125 / -167)

Ryan Weathers · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 18vs

L6.18883111

Jun 12@

L4.18225166

Jun 5vs

L6.09347155

May 30@

L6.2107106355

May 24vs

W7.09544300

Tarik Skubal · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 19vs

W5.29487133

Jun 13@

L4.28045123

Apr 29@

L7.09175022

Apr 23vs

W6.09457044

Apr 18@

W6.089104211

Bullpens · Last 12

NYY

xERA 3.81 (avg)ERA 3.21

DET

xERA 2.99 (elite)ERA 1.91

Weather · Neutral Conditions

74°F, Overcast, Wind 4 mph SSW

APF 102 — Neutral

Flags · 2

DET — Tarik Skubal: getting squared up (Hard-Hit% 46%)
DET — Tarik Skubal: missed a turn (45-day gap between starts)

KCR @

TBR

6:40 PM · Tropicana Field (Dome)

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Noah Cameron L

xERA3.78 (avg)K%20.0 (avg)HH%30.2 (good)Barrel%5.7 (good)ERA4.11IP/gs5.1 IP/gsH/gs6.0PC/gs99BB%2.9

TBR vs LHP

wRC+80 (below avg)K%18.8 (above avg)HH%30.2 (below avg)

Griffin Jax R

xERA5.17 (below avg)K%25.4 (good)HH%43.6 (below avg)Barrel%12.8 (below avg)ERA1.20IP/gs5.0 IP/gsH/gs4.0PC/gs65BB%3.6

KCR vs RHP

wRC+141 (elite)K%17.1 (above avg)HH%43.7 (above avg)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalKCR+120+1.5 (-170)O8.0 (-110)TBR-136-1.5 (+172)U8.0 (-106)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalKCR+120+0.5 (-132)O4.5 (+116)TBR-142-0.5 (+102)U4.5 (-152)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UNoah Cameron4.5 (+114 / -138)17.5 (-145 / +124)Griffin Jax4.5 (-124 / +120)15.5 (+124 / -164)

Noah Cameron · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 18vs

W5.010868234

Jun 13vs

L4.18617044

Jun 7@

W6.010473001

Jun 2@

L7.08781011

May 27vs

L5.09444122

Griffin Jax · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 19vs

W5.06954022

Jun 13@

L5.06355001

Jun 7@

L5.06243200

Jun 1vs

L4.07257166

May 26@

L2.03834013

Bullpens · Last 12

KCR

xERA 4.14 (avg)ERA 4.50

TBR

xERA 4.19 (avg)ERA 5.44

Weather · Dome

Dome

Flags · 4

TBR — Griffin Jax: ERA 1.20 << xERA 5.17 — overperforming; regression risk
TBR — Griffin Jax: high LOB% 98% — ERA flattered by strand luck
KCR — Noah Cameron: high pitch count last start (108 pitches) — monitor workload today
TBR — Griffin Jax: low pitch count last start (69 pitches) — may have been managing something

SEA @

PIT

6:40 PM · PNC ParkNeutral Conditions

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Bryan Woo R

xERA4.09 (avg)K%26.7 (good)HH%48.1 (poor)Barrel%9.6 (avg)ERA5.89IP/gs6.1 IP/gsH/gs6.3PC/gs87BB%2.7

PIT vs RHP

wRC+134 (elite)K%23.8 (avg)HH%42.1 (above avg)

Braxton Ashcraft R

xERA3.44 (good)K%22.2 (avg)HH%40.0 (avg)Barrel%4.0 (elite)ERA5.06IP/gs5.3 IP/gsH/gs6.0PC/gs90BB%6.9

SEA vs RHP

wRC+69 (poor)K%23.8 (avg)HH%38.4 (avg)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalSEA-130-1.5 (+125)O8.5 (-105)PIT+116+1.5 (-140)U8.5 (-105)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalSEA+100+0.5 (-154)O3.5 (-144)PIT-120-0.5 (+118)U3.5 (+110)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UBryan Woo5.5 (+102 / -130)17.5 (-166 / +131)Braxton Ashcraft6.5 (+122 / +112)17.5 (-130 / +108)

Bryan Woo · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 18vs

W7.08993100

Jun 11@

L5.08247177

Jun 5@

L6.19079055

May 30vs

W7.08692000

May 24@

L4.29146244

Braxton Ashcraft · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 17@

W6.09374312

Jun 12vs

L5.09045222

Jun 6@

L5.08659066

May 31vs

W6.080115022

May 26vs

W6.19557111

Bullpens · Last 12

SEA

xERA 2.53 (elite)ERA 4.68

PIT

xERA 3.86 (avg)ERA 5.11

Weather · Neutral Conditions

79°F, Clear, Wind 5 mph WSW

APF 100 — Neutral

Flags · 4

SEA — Bryan Woo: getting squared up (Hard-Hit% 48%)
SEA bullpen: bullpen ERA 4.68 >> xERA 2.53 — may be getting unlucky
SEA — Bryan Woo: 2026-06-11: 7 ER in 5.0 IP (ERA equiv 13) is inflating 3-game xERA — other 2 starts averaged 3.69 ERA equiv
PIT — Braxton Ashcraft: 2026-06-06: 6 ER in 5.0 IP (ERA equiv 11) is inflating 3-game xERA — other 2 starts averaged 2.55 ERA equiv

PHI @

WSN

6:45 PM · Nationals ParkHitter Friendly

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Aaron Nola R

xERA3.43 (good)K%18.8 (avg)HH%34.7 (good)Barrel%8.2 (avg)ERA6.43IP/gs4.7 IP/gsH/gs6.3PC/gs93BB%10.1

WSN vs RHP

wRC+102 (avg)K%20.4 (avg)HH%36.3 (avg)

Miles Mikolas R

xERA2.65 (elite)K%10.6 (poor)HH%37.9 (avg)Barrel%3.5 (elite)ERA2.55IP/gs17.2 IP (3gs)PC/gs74BB%1.5

PHI vs RHP

wRC+121 (above avg)K%26.4 (below avg)HH%38.9 (avg)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalPHI-175-1.5 (-110)O8.5 (-102)WSN+160+1.5 (-110)U8.0 (-110)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalPHI-125-0.5 (+106)O5.5 (+100)WSN+102+0.5 (-138)U5.5 (-130)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UAaron Nola4.5 (-122 / +101)16.5 (-131 / +102)Miles Mikolas3.5 (+126 / -152)—

Aaron Nola · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 18vs

L5.09767123

Jun 13@

W4.28536233

Jun 7vs

W4.19846455

Jun 2vs

W5.09584022

May 26@

W6.08053022

Miles Mikolas · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 19@

L6.08529155

Jun 14vs

W7.08333000

Jun 8@

W4.25423000

Jun 2vs

L6.09246266

May 27@

L3.26016022

Bullpens · Last 12

PHI

xERA 4.17 (avg)ERA 5.18

WSN

xERA 4.56 (below avg)ERA 6.83

Weather · Hitter Friendly

83°F, Clear, Wind 3 mph NW

APF 103 — Hitter Friendly

Flags · 2

PHI — Aaron Nola: ERA 6.43 >> xERA 3.43 — likely unlucky; may be better than ERA shows (check LOB%/BABIP)
WSN bullpen: bullpen ERA 6.83 >> xERA 4.56 — may be getting unlucky

HOU @

TOR

7:07 PM · Rogers CentreNeutral Conditions

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Mike Burrows R

xERA4.41 (avg)K%16.7 (below avg)HH%36.6 (avg)Barrel%7.3 (good)ERA6.55IP/gs5.5 IP/gsH/gs8.0PC/gs65BB%7.4

TOR vs RHP

wRC+122 (above avg)K%19.3 (above avg)HH%36.1 (avg)

Trey Yesavage R

xERA3.57 (good)K%18.7 (avg)HH%47.2 (poor)Barrel%7.5 (good)ERA7.00IP/gs6.0 IP/gsH/gs4.3PC/gs89BB%10.7

HOU vs RHP

wRC+119 (above avg)K%21.1 (avg)HH%41.6 (above avg)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalHOU+122+1.5 (-170)O8.5 (-110)TOR-140-1.5 (+145)U8.5 (-108)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalHOU+124+0.5 (-115)O4.5 (-122)TOR-156-0.5 (-113)U4.5 (-106)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UMike Burrows3.5 (-138 / +121)15.5 (+102 / -129)Trey Yesavage5.5 (-105 / -103)16.5 (-118 / -109)

Mike Burrows · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 19vs

W1.0711000

Jun 13@

W5.09257245

Jun 7vs

L5.09738245

Jun 2vs

L5.09038556

May 27@

W7.09165122

Trey Yesavage · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 18@

W7.19564033

Jun 12vs

W5.08134655

Jun 5vs

L5.29155266

May 30@

L5.09242711

May 25vs

L6.29865255

Bullpens · Last 12

HOU

xERA 3.42 (good)ERA 3.33

TOR

xERA 3.69 (good)ERA 3.58

Weather · Neutral Conditions

69°F, Overcast, Wind 10 mph SSW

APF 102 — Neutral

Flags · 4

HOU — Mike Burrows: small sample (11.0 IP over 3 starts)
TOR — Trey Yesavage: ERA 7.00 >> xERA 3.57 — likely unlucky; may be better than ERA shows (check LOB%/BABIP)
TOR — Trey Yesavage: getting squared up (Hard-Hit% 47%)
HOU — Mike Burrows: low pitch count last start (7 pitches) — may have been managing something

CHC @

NYM

7:10 PM · Citi FieldNeutral Conditions

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Javier Assad R

xERA2.29 (elite)K%17.2 (avg)HH%34.0 (good)Barrel%6.0 (good)ERA1.00IP/gs9.0 IP/gsH/gs4.5PC/gs85BB%3.1

NYM vs RHP

wRC+95 (avg)K%25.6 (below avg)HH%38.5 (avg)

Sean Manaea L

xERA3.46 (good)K%22.9 (avg)HH%47.7 (poor)Barrel%6.8 (good)ERA3.52IP/gs7.7 IP/gsH/gs7.0PC/gs82BB%3.3

CHC vs LHP

wRC+212 (elite)K%16.3 (above avg)HH%42.4 (above avg)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalCHC+100-1.5 (+162)O8.5 (-102)NYM-112+1.5 (-195)U8.0 (-110)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalCHC-116-0.5 (+122)O3.5 (-152)NYM-106+0.5 (-160)U3.5 (+116)

Javier Assad · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 24@

L4.07745233

Jun 17vs

W5.29215022

Jun 12@

W6.08553100

Jun 7vs

L6.17251100

May 15@

W2.03913011

Sean Manaea · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 18@

W5.19556123

Jun 13vs

L6.08464022

Jun 7@

W4.06634122

Jun 1@

L5.06341111

May 26vs

L3.06863211

Bullpens · Last 12

CHC

xERA 4.89 (below avg)ERA 5.72

NYM

xERA 3.73 (good)ERA 4.23

Weather · Neutral Conditions

82°F, Clear, Wind 8 mph WNW

APF 101 — Neutral

Flags · 4

CHC — Javier Assad: high LOB% 100% — ERA flattered by strand luck
NYM — Sean Manaea: getting squared up (Hard-Hit% 48%)
CHC — Javier Assad: missed a turn (23-day gap between starts)
CHC — Javier Assad: low pitch count last start (77 pitches) — may have been managing something

MIL @

CIN

7:10 PM · Great American Ball ParkHitter Friendly

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Shane Drohan L

xERA3.10 (good)K%20.6 (avg)HH%30.6 (good)Barrel%10.2 (avg)ERA4.41IP/gs5.4 IP/gsH/gs5.3PC/gs84BB%5.9

CIN vs LHP

wRC+127 (above avg)K%18.9 (above avg)HH%41.2 (above avg)

Rhett Lowder R

xERA4.80 (below avg)K%22.7 (avg)HH%35.9 (avg)Barrel%10.3 (avg)ERA3.21IP/gs4.7 IP/gsH/gs4.0PC/gs87BB%15.2

MIL vs RHP

wRC+104 (avg)K%22.6 (avg)HH%36.8 (avg)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalMIL-130-1.5 (+118)O9.5 (-105)CIN+118+1.5 (-134)U9.5 (-111)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalMIL-130-0.5 (-113)O4.5 (-144)CIN+124+0.5 (-115)U4.5 (+110)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UShane Drohan5.5 (+113 / +140)15.5 (+118 / +122)Rhett Lowder4.5 (+132 / -150)15.5 (+116 / +110)

Shane Drohan · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 18vs

L5.09133311

Jun 13vs

L5.07878044

Jun 7@

W6.18345133

Jun 1vs

W4.06854222

May 27vs

W2.02711000

Rhett Lowder · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 19@

L5.19556344

Jun 13vs

W5.29665211

Jun 7@

L3.07041500

May 7@

L3.05911433

May 2@

L1.15215488

Bullpens · Last 12

MIL

xERA 2.74 (elite)ERA 4.29

CIN

xERA 2.88 (elite)ERA 3.02

Weather · Hitter Friendly

81°F, Overcast, Wind 8 mph NW

APF 104 — Hitter Friendly

Flags · 2

CIN — Rhett Lowder: high LOB% 96% — ERA flattered by strand luck
CIN — Rhett Lowder: missed a turn (31-day gap between starts)

LAD @

MIN

7:40 PM · Target FieldHitter Friendly

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Shohei Ohtani R

xERA3.28 (good)K%22.4 (avg)HH%28.8 (elite)Barrel%5.8 (good)ERA3.38IP/gs6.2 IP/gsH/gs5.0PC/gs94BB%6.6

MIN vs RHP

wRC+163 (elite)K%14.5 (elite)HH%43.5 (above avg)

Joe Ryan R

xERA2.79 (elite)K%28.6 (elite)HH%45.6 (poor)Barrel%8.7 (avg)ERA2.12IP/gs5.7 IP/gsH/gs5.0PC/gs100BB%5.7

LAD vs RHP

wRC+132 (elite)K%23.1 (avg)HH%42.0 (above avg)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalLAD-175-1.5 (-102)O8.0 (-114)MIN+148+1.5 (-114)U8.0 (-105)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalLAD-160-0.5 (-110)O3.5 (-148)MIN+132+0.5 (-118)U3.5 (+114)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UShohei Ohtani6.5 (+106 / -135)17.5 (-148 / +112)Joe Ryan5.5 (-132 / +112)17.5 (-138 / +112)

Shohei Ohtani · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 17vs

W6.09157144

Jun 10@

L6.210266334

Jun 3@

W6.08962100

May 27vs

W6.09970411

May 20@

W5.08843200

Joe Ryan · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 18@

W5.09773200

Jun 12vs

W6.010286033

Jun 6vs

L6.010256211

Jun 1vs

W6.09898044

May 26@

W7.29895022

Bullpens · Last 12

LAD

xERA 2.39 (elite)ERA 3.16

MIN

xERA 4.19 (avg)ERA 7.97

Weather · Hitter Friendly

74°F, Mainly Clear, Wind 12 mph WNW

APF 105 — Hitter Friendly

Flags · 3

MIN — Joe Ryan: getting squared up (Hard-Hit% 46%)
MIN — Joe Ryan: high LOB% 93% — ERA flattered by strand luck
MIN bullpen: bullpen ERA 7.97 >> xERA 4.19 — may be getting unlucky

ARI @

STL

7:45 PM · Busch StadiumNeutral Conditions

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Mitch Bratt L

xERA?K%?HH%?IP/gs—

STL vs LHP

wRC+113 (avg)K%14.0 (elite)HH%43.1 (above avg)

M. Liberatore L

xERA7.51 (poor)K%19.2 (avg)HH%47.4 (poor)Barrel%18.4 (poor)ERA10.45IP/gs3.4 IP/gsH/gs5.3PC/gs67BB%7.7

ARI vs LHP

wRC+97 (avg)K%14.2 (elite)HH%34.5 (below avg)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalARI+115+1.5 (-180)O9.0 (-102)STL-132-1.5 (+158)U8.5 (-110)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalARI+100+0.5 (-140)O4.5 (-138)STL-115-0.5 (+108)U4.5 (+106)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UMitch Bratt——M. Liberatore3.5 (+126 / -152)15.5 (+113 / -151)

M. Liberatore · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 18@

L1.24827057

Jun 13@

W4.17045144

Jun 6vs

W4.18444335

May 31vs

W5.18543100

May 25@

L5.0101107233

Bullpens · Last 12

ARI

xERA 4.73 (below avg)ERA 4.35

STL

xERA 5.39 (poor)ERA 6.69

Weather · Neutral Conditions

86°F, Overcast, Wind 5 mph W

APF 101 — Neutral

Flags · 9

ARI — Mitch Bratt: no stats — likely TBD or skipping this start
STL — M. Liberatore: small sample (10.1 IP over 3 starts)
STL — M. Liberatore: ERA 10.45 >> xERA 7.51 — likely unlucky; may be better than ERA shows (check LOB%/BABIP)
STL — M. Liberatore: getting squared up (Hard-Hit% 47%)
STL — M. Liberatore: elevated Barrel% 18%
STL — M. Liberatore: low LOB% 31% — ERA penalized by bad sequencing
STL — M. Liberatore: averaging only 3.4 IP/start — heavy bullpen usage
STL bullpen: bullpen is a liability (xERA 5.39)
STL — M. Liberatore: low pitch count last start (48 pitches) — may have been managing something

ATL @

SDP

8:40 PM · Petco ParkNeutral Conditions

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Martin Perez L

xERA2.47 (elite)K%21.5 (avg)HH%23.9 (elite)Barrel%2.2 (elite)ERA2.76IP/gs5.4 IP/gsH/gs4.3PC/gs79BB%7.7

SDP vs LHP

wRC+104 (avg)K%18.5 (above avg)HH%44.6 (above avg)

JP Sears L

xERA?K%?HH%?IP/gs—

ATL vs LHP

wRC+104 (avg)K%21.7 (avg)HH%38.4 (avg)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalATL-120-1.5 (+138)O8.5 (+100)SDP+106+1.5 (-164)U8.5 (-115)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalATL-125-0.5 (+104)O4.5 (-125)SDP+106+0.5 (-135)U4.5 (-104)

Pitcher Props

K O/UOuts O/UMartin Perez4.5 (+110 / -132)15.5 (-103 / -114)JP Sears3.5 (-162 / +134)15.5 (+113 / -150)

Martin Perez · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 19vs

W6.08256211

Jun 13@

W5.17144111

Jun 5vs

W5.08553233

May 30@

W5.08124322

May 24vs

L5.28625211

Bullpens · Last 12

ATL

xERA 3.78 (avg)ERA 1.61

SDP

xERA 3.85 (avg)ERA 3.19

Weather · Neutral Conditions

71°F, Partly Cloudy, Wind 8 mph NW

APF 98 — Neutral

Flags · 3

SDP — JP Sears: no stats — likely TBD or skipping this start
ATL bullpen: bullpen ERA 1.61 << xERA 3.78 — ERA flatters the pen
WEATHER: hitter-friendly conditions (adj factor 98) — adjust pitcher xERA expectations up

ATH @

SFG

9:45 PM · Oracle ParkNeutral Conditions

Matchup · SP Last 3 / Team Last 12

Gage Jump L

xERA2.91 (elite)K%23.2 (good)HH%30.4 (good)Barrel%4.3 (elite)ERA1.47IP/gs6.1 IP/gsH/gs3.0PC/gs93BB%10.1

SFG vs LHP

wRC+118 (above avg)K%19.6 (above avg)HH%42.1 (above avg)

Tyler Mahle R

xERA2.86 (elite)K%22.4 (avg)HH%31.2 (good)Barrel%4.2 (elite)ERA8.40IP/gs5.0 IP/gsH/gs7.0PC/gs83BB%6.0

ATH vs RHP

wRC+150 (elite)K%20.0 (avg)HH%36.9 (avg)

Betting Odds · best of DK / FanDuel / Fanatics

Full Game

MLSpreadTotalATH+115+1.5 (-190)O9.0 (+100)SFG-130-1.5 (+162)U8.5 (-105)

First 5 Innings

MLSpreadTotalATH-120-0.5 (+110)O4.5 (-102)SFG+102+0.5 (-144)U4.5 (-128)

Pitcher Props

K O/UGage Jump4.5 (-137 / +107)Tyler Mahle4.5 (+102 / -124)

Gage Jump · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

Jun 18vs

W7.010771300

Jun 12vs

W5.07565133

Jun 7@

W6.19633300

Jun 2@

W7.08553111

May 26vs

L5.08859144

Tyler Mahle · Last 5 Outings

DateOppResIPPCKHBBERR

May 26vs

L5.08133333

May 20@

L5.07968066

May 15@

L5.090610155

May 10vs

W5.29785244

May 3@

L5.19254100

Bullpens · Last 12

ATH

xERA 3.45 (good)ERA 7.14

SFG

xERA 4.78 (below avg)ERA 4.66

Weather · Neutral Conditions

61°F, Mainly Clear, Wind 14 mph W

APF 97 — Neutral

Flags · 4

SFG — Tyler Mahle: ERA 8.40 >> xERA 2.86 — likely unlucky; may be better than ERA shows (check LOB%/BABIP)
ATH bullpen: bullpen ERA 7.14 >> xERA 3.45 — may be getting unlucky
ATH — Gage Jump: high pitch count last start (107 pitches) — monitor workload today
WEATHER: hitter-friendly conditions (adj factor 97) — adjust pitcher xERA expectations up